The Cloud's Silver Lining

There are still good reasons to believe Obama may be a one term president, and this article by The Week's editorial staff on Yahoo News lists six of them. Two of these strike me as particularly meaningful:

• The economy is even worse for Obama's base.
• Another Mideast war could doom Obama.

The Great Recession has been particularly tough on young people and African-Americans. The unemployment rates of both groups have been especially high.

An Israeli attack on Iran forces the President to choose between another two key Obama constituencies: pro-Israel American Jews and peaceniks. Whatever he decides to do alienates one of these groups.

In neither of these situations are angered Democrats likely to vote Republican, but they may very well decide no one running in either party represents them and stay home.

The other four reasons Obama could lose aren't bad either.