Sunday, May 13, 2012

Dem Pollster Pessimistic

Peter D. Hart, well-known Democratic pollster, has issued his preview of the 2012 election. A Los Angeles Times article summarizes Hart's preview and quotes him as saying:
This election is no better than a 50-50 proposition for the president.
Among factors Hart cites as being negative for the president are voter enthusiasm (stronger among Republicans), low consumer confidence, how people feel about the direction of the country (unhappy), and who they believe has a better handle on the economy (Romney).

As a Democrat Hart looks for some silver linings in the data and, no surprise, finds some. The linings seem weak to me, but there are many weeks between now and early November, much can change.