Monday, October 20, 2014

Looking Good

The Washington Post's Chris Cillizza summarizes the findings of the three major election prediction statistical models - Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight model, the New York Times' LEO model, and the WaPo's Election Lab model. All three now predict the GOP will take control of the Senate in the next Congress. Continuing GOP control of the House is a foregone conclusion to all prognosticators.

In fact, the only Senate seat about which the models disagree is Kansas and even that one is explained away by Cillizza. Meanwhile, the election is only "two weeks and a get-up" away, as Vietnam era GIs described the upcoming end of their year in-country.

Can we relax? Not yet, but the omens are definitely favorable. Hat tip to RealClearPolitics for the link.