Rove Looks Ahead

Political operative Karl Rove, engineer of the two George W. Bush presidential victories, has written for The Wall Street Journal his predictions for 2015 and an evaluation of how his 2014 predictions turned out. Most of his 2014 projections turned out correct, which makes his 2015 list worth reading.

Three highlights from his 2015 list:

Hillary Clinton will run for the presidency; Sen. Elizabeth Warren, after flirting with the notion, will not. Neither will Vice President Joe Biden, but he will make more gaffes.

A surprising number of prospective Republican candidates will not run or get off the launchpad because of money-raising challenges. It will not take $88 million to win the nomination like it took Mitt Romney in 2012, but it will take close to that sum.

There will be a Supreme Court vacancy in 2015. The court will rule the Affordable Care Act does not allow premium subsidies in states without their own insurance exchanges. Appeals courts will hold the president lacked authority for his executive memos on immigration.

Predicting Joe Biden will continue making gaffes is sandbagging. Biden couldn't quit even if he tried, and he has no incentive to try.