Monday, July 27, 2015

Early Returns Suggest She Will Lose

The Washington Post's Chris Cillizza weighs in with four poll numbers that look grim for la Hillary. Two show her favorables lower than her unfavorables in both NH and IA, the two early states.

The other two show her favorables dropping below her unfavorables nationally,  Clinton is still popular with Democrats but has gone negative among independents and never had the Republicans.  Enjoy Cilllizza's concluding thought:
Presidential politics tends to be dominated by personality and how people perceive their candidate choices.

For Clinton, these polls argue that she may be hard pressed to win a traditional presidential election in which likability matters most. To get to the White House, Clinton almost certainly needs to turn the choice into one about experience and readiness to do the job at hand. If it's a popularity contest, these early returns suggest she will lose.