Monday, April 24, 2017

Headed for Redder Pastures

For RealClearPolitics, demographers Joel Kotkin and Wendell Cox describe people leaving cities, moving to suburbs. They move from cold places to the Sun Belt, and from blue states to red states.

On the right, we tend to stereotype everyone in large cities as Democrats. True of a majority but it overlooks substantial minorities of non-Democrats living (unhappily) in those human anthills. Very likely it is these who are, in the colorful military phrase for a retreat, "bugging out." Heading for redder pastures, if I can be forgiven for mixing metaphors.
In 2016 alone, states that supported Donald Trump gained 400,000 domestic migrants from states that supported Hillary Clinton. This came on top of an existing advantage in net domestic red state migration of 1.45 million people from 2010 through 2015. (snip) Metropolitan New York has led the way in out-migration, followed by Los Angeles and Chicago. Since 2000, these metropolitan areas have lost a net 5.5 million domestic migrants to other parts of the country.

The peak years for living in higher density, multi-family neighborhoods take place between ages 18 and 30.

Perhaps the biggest problem for the left lies in their embrace of policies that reject suburban lifestyles and, as we see in California, make housing hard to build and all but unaffordable.
High density is oppressive, it requires regimentation to be sustainable.