Tuesday, May 9, 2017

Black Turnout Down

The Washington Post's Monkey Cage blog reports a major reason Clinton lost, and Trump won: voter turnout. The graphic there shows white turnout was up 2.4% for 2016 over 2012, while black turnout was down 4.7%.

It's worth noting that Hispanic turnout was up 3.8% and that for Asians up 3.0%. These increases didn't help Clinton appreciably, perhaps because substantial numbers of both voted for Trump.

In September of 2016 I wrote the following:
If Hillary Clinton loses, she will be the last white presidential candidate nominated by Democrats.

Beginning in 2020 all Democrat nominees will be Black or Hispanic, or less likely Asian.
Not looking good for Biden, Warren, Clinton, Sanders and Schumer. What are the morning line odds on Cory Booker or Kamala Harris? Harris is a twofer, she's both African-American and Asian.

Tribal politics, anyone?