Wednesday, February 18, 2015

Models Favor GOP

Sorry if you got your hopes up; it's not about supermodels but rather predictive models.  National Journal reports on academics who model presidential election outcomes statistically, likely after they examine the predictive power of various variables using regression analysis.  As the author notes, these worthies don't see eye to eye with Washington's commentariat.

The pundits seem to think Hillary has a good chance of being nominated and elected. The academic modelers don't agree.

The modelers note it's quite difficult for a party, in this case the Democrats, to get a majority of the vote after eight years in office. It rarely happens; normally the public is ready for a change, ready to give the opponents a chance. Hat tip to Lucianne.com for the link.