Storm’s a-Comin’

The storm headed for SoCal is predicted to come our way tomorrow, attenuating as it leaves the ocean behind and is over land. We may get rain, perhaps even a lot.

The arroyos hereabouts feature quite large flood control structures which in a normal year see next-to-no rain and remain unused. They weren’t built just to look pretty, local history shows that a thunderstorm hereabouts can generate a near-wall of water and do some real damage. 

My guess is the Mormon pioneers who founded this community experienced some terrifying floods and have passed the memories down to the current “town fathers.” The Virgin River most of the time is no bigger than a stream, or a healthy creek. This storm could change that, at least briefly, and give the flood control a workout.

We fly out on Tuesday a.m. en route to Tennessee and a river cruise on the river of that name. Tennessee should be getting over the storm named Isaias that is beating up Pensacola and the Gulf Coast. We hope TN is far enough inland to not be destroyed. 

Storm here and storm there, who would have guessed?

Talarico Rumor Surfaces

Texas Democrat senate candidate James Talarico hasn’t been seen in person since Sept. 26 and on video on Sept. 30. The claim by his campaign organization is that he is down with the flu. 

If you follow politics at all, you know this is unbelievable behavior by a candidate so close to the election. As Matt Margolis at PJ Media notes, if Talarico were all that sick he’d be hospitalized and we’d be getting updates about his condition. 

The unconfirmed rumor is that he had a mental breakdown and is in-patient somewhere. His flaky comments before his disappearance could lend credence to that rumor. 

Later - Talarico “surfaced” chatting up the crowd at some public gathering. Still no explanation for his week+ disappearance.

The Day After

Today is the “day after,” the day after we drove the 500+ miles south to our winter quarters in Nevada. As expected we left what felt like late autumn and arrived where autumn as evidenced by turning leaves and crisp air has yet to visit. We left temps in the 40s, arrived in the 90s.

The drive took about 10 hours including stops for gas, restroom breaks, lunch and a sit-down restaurant supper. Most of it done on I-15 where the posted speed limit is 80 mph which we did. Traffic was mild, we saw 0 accidents, and zoomed thru SLC in the HOV lanes with 3 in the truck making us legal.

The drive was long, the views were nice, if somewhat familiar, and the weather excellent. I was passenger with two ladies, my dear wife and our excellent niece. They did all of the driving and most of the talking. I daydreamed and dozed.

Our winter place survived our absence w/o apparent injury, always a minor worry even though we’ve never had much problem in that regard. Now we’re unpacking and recuperating.

—————

No memes and snark until late October, apologies for that. I may not get my desktop computer set up until then. My office here doubles as our guest room and our niece is with us until we leave on a cruise in about a week, and then we’ll be gone for close to 2 weeks. I will be blogging however, just no pix.

Interesting Quote

Reading a Heather Mac Donald column on the frat house group sex/rape? at Cornell, a reader responds on X with a comment I'd share with you.

The female privilege to switch back and forth between high agency and low agency depending what advantage it affords them … will not be surrendered willingly.

The ladylike ambivalence that privilege reflects is no new thing.

News from Spain

Pedro Sanchez is the Socialist Prime Minister of Spain. It has been on his watch that the Moroccan invasion of the Ceuta enclave has occurred. 

He is very unpopular with Spanish voters. It is unclear why he has now called a "snap election" in late November that it's likely his Socialists will lose.

Maybe he's made such a mess that his party would rather be out of power where they can carp at whoever replaces him. It is always easier to complain and criticize than to fix problems.

Parallels

I am struck by the fact that, after Islam hating on "crusaders" for 1500 years, militant Islam has become exactly what they've so long criticized - crusading soldiers for God. 

On a somewhat parallel track, Jews who for centuries were the people Europe wanted to get rid of, now find themselves in Israel with a people - the Palestinians - whom they wish would go away.

There is evidence aplenty that the Abrahamic God is a cosmic ironist, a karmic entity who loves seeing the worm turn.

Better Late than Never

Image courtesy of Sarah Hoyt's

Fall into Memes.

Good News

Brazil voted for President today and the conservative Flavio Bolsonaro bested the leftist Luiz Inacio Lula de Silva 47.24% to 44.81%. The polls had predicted Lula would come out ahead. 

As neither got 50%, there will be a runoff on Oct. 25, which Bolsonaro is now expected to win. This suggests more Brazilian cooperation with the US and less with China and Russia.

A Season of "Lasts"

This is a season of "lasts." Today we ate our last Liberty Burger of the summer in Jackson, and said goodbye to our favorite waitress, who knows our order. Yesterday was the last ribeye I grilled on the gas BBQ, and today I cleaned the equipment and stored it for the winter. 

We had a last Rocky Mountain Seafood dinner a couple of nights ago, with local friends. Tomorrow, after loading the truck, we will have our last Mexican meal of the summer. Last, last, last.... 

High country summer is coming to a close, for the 30+th time. Summers here are very nearly perfect. One of these years we'll be too decrepit to come back in the spring, and that will be much more than sad.

Where the Boys Are

Caitlin Flanagan has written for The Atlantic and New Yorker, and today writes for The Free Press, on the subject of why college girls go to drunken parties at college fraternity houses, a fraught behavior to say the least. The late Connie Francis had the answer all those decades ago: it is "where the boys are."

More specifically she notes.

Fraternity members tend to be many of the things college women don’t like: conservative, suburban, usually white, almost always straight.

And yet, year after year after year, young women of all political and ideological stripes flock to their parties, even though they know how dangerous those places are.

Decade after decade, they go to fraternity parties. What are they looking for? It’s the very force they claim to be “so over”: masculinity.

I have only one quibble with her analysis, and it is her omission of something Americans don't like to discuss - social class. Members of fraternities tend to be from more affluent, upper middle class families. Also, frat parties enable lower division women to meet somewhat older men. 

The formal name for this motive is "hypergamy," defined as a "structural practice in which an individual (typically a woman) marries a spouse of higher social caste, socioeconomic class, or educational attainment."

Marrying a man several years older is another form of the same thing. It enables a young woman to assess whether his "life trajectory" is headed in a direction she finds agreeable.

I spent most of my adult life on college campuses, watching attractive, smart young people find both a life partner and a career, plus doing so myself. It was good.

Afterthought:  Flanagan's publicity photo at her Wiki bio (see below) suggests her nice smile would have been very welcome at any frat party.

Saturday Snark

Images courtesy of Power Line's The Week in Pictures

and its Comments section.

Youthful Rebellion

Power Line's John Hinderaker does a long column on young Americans expressing favorable attitudes to Sharia law, and to communities with an Islamic majority adopting it. He puzzles over where they got such ideas. He doesn't know, nor do I but I do have a guess. 

The young have picked up somehow, perhaps via social media, that the their elders view Sharia with great disdain and some fear. What better way to send us a message that they are angry with the society we leave them than to express positive sentiments about something we see as anathema? 

They are trying, with some success, to get our attention. I bet most of the non-Muslims expressing approval of Sharia have next-to-no idea of what it entails. 

Be glad they aren't doing what French immigrant 'youth' are currently doing, namely rioting, looting and vandalism. Doing so is a French tradition.

Take the Win

The Daily Signal has good news from Seattle, of all places, about the battle against DEI and anti-white bias. They report:

On Monday, a three-judge panel for the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 9th Circuit ruled in favor of a white former City of Seattle employee, Joshua Diemert, who said he had been the victim of racial harassment in the workplace.

Specifically, the court ruled that his hostile-work-environment claims could proceed under Title VII of the Civil Rights Act and Washington state law. That’s a big deal since a lower court had previously thrown out his case.

This is particularly a "big deal" since the 9th Circuit is widely believed to be the most progressive appellate circuit court, and Seattle is one of the nation's most left-leaning cities, second only to Portland OR.

Paraphrasing Frank Sinatra, if it can happen there it can happen anywhere.

Friday Meme Fest

Images courtesy of Politico's

The Nation's Cartoonists on the Week in Politics.

Images courtesy of RealClearPolitics'

Cartoons of the Week.

Footnote

Yesterday I wrote about the declining crime rate. I was expressing doubts if it as large as claimed. 

I do recognize with our birthrate declining the number of young men has declined. Young men commit a very large fraction of violent felonies. 

This demographic fact we know is real, and undoubtedly contributes to the decrease in reported crime. I should have added the above to yesterday's post.

A Ray of Election Hope

Political statistician Harry Enten is a bright spot in CNN’s otherwise dim offerings. This PJ Media piece has him urging caution about polling in the nation’s middle (scroll down).

There the polls nearly always predict a lower GOP turnout than what actually occurs. He warns polls have underestimated GOP strength in several recent elections. GOP control of the Senate remains a definite possibility, if not quite a likelihood.

The bottom line: Go vote as though your life depends on it, rain or snow, regardless. Probably an exaggeration, but ... maybe not ....

Update

Roughly six weeks ago I wrote about Rocky Mountain Seafood located in the smalll valley town of Afton, Wyoming. I ate there again last night and am writing to add this encomium. 

Their clam chowder is excellent, as noted before. I am inspired to write in praise of their French fries which are some of the best I’ve eaten ever, anywhere. They actually taste like the best fried potatoes and are deep fried in tallow (beef fat). 

What’s more, try dipping them in the chowder - better than catsup or fry sauce. We go south soon and I will miss them.

Poll: Too Close to Call

Breitbart reports as follows:

The monthly Harvard Harris Poll of voters across the United States continues to show Democrat and Republican support at near-identical levels just over a month from November's midterm election.

Among all registered voters in the poll, the parties are split at 50-50 when asked if they would be more likely to vote for a Democrat or Republican candidate for Congress. Democrats take a slight 51-40 percent lead among likely voters.

Whereas the legacy media isn't nearly that even-handed in their vote prognostications. Evident media bias surprises only those who spent the last three decades in a coma.

Aspire → Perspire

The key to our national prosperity.

Image courtesy of Politico.

Ouch!

Wryly ironic quote by law prof and essayist Jonathan Turley.

It is not a good sign when the IRGC shifts from "Death to America" to "Vote Democratic."

Democrats are known by the company they keep, and the backers they attract - communists and blood-thirsty fanatics.