One of life’s guilty pleasures is when people with “influence and/or money” make public plans and those plans backfire and bite them on the bum. I’m wondering if Musk’s third party ploy won’t turn out to be one of those misbegotten plans?
If Musk’s America Party does as Ross Perot’s third party did, it would take enough votes from Republicans to ensure Democrats win. History suggests that is the best they could do.
However quite independent of Musk’s machinations, anti-semitic, socialist Zohran Mamdani has won the Democrat nomination for New York City’s mayor, making him the likely victor. The coincidental timing is propitious.
AOC, Bernie and their claque will do their darnedest to make Mamdani the face of the Democratic Party. What if they succeed? This will turn off many less wild-eyed people who normally vote for Democrats.
Suppose Musk manages to take more votes from unhappy Democrats than from unhappy Republicans? I’d say the probability of this outcome is greater than zero, and could be closer to 0.5.
For example, Musk wins 10% of D votes and only 5% of R votes. That could swing some purple states our way. I don’t predict it, but it could happen.