Thursday, February 2, 2012

Good Numbers

Politico columnist Jim Vandehei "runs the numbers" on jobs, swing votes, and money. His conclusion: President Obama's reelection effort is in trouble, far from a sure thing.

Vandehei cites the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office prediction that unemployment rates will be almost 9% in the third quarter. The third quarter is the period leading up to the election.

He cites Gallup as finding Obama and Romney tied in the so-called "swing states." These are the 12 states that have a reasonable chance of tilting either way.

And Vandehei shows that the once-anticipated Obama lead in fund raising is probably gone. Super PAC money is going to the GOP.