Vandehei cites the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office prediction that unemployment rates will be almost 9% in the third quarter. The third quarter is the period leading up to the election.
He cites Gallup as finding Obama and Romney tied in the so-called "swing states." These are the 12 states that have a reasonable chance of tilting either way.
And Vandehei shows that the once-anticipated Obama lead in fund raising is probably gone. Super PAC money is going to the GOP.
