Wednesday, March 14, 2012

More Primary Results

The week's key primaries were yesterday in Alabama and Mississippi. You are going to hear that Santorum won both contests, which appears to be technically true.

However, in Mississippi the differences among Gingrich, Santorum and Romney are quite small:
  • 32.9% Santorum
  • 31.3% Gingrich
  • 30.3% Romney
  • 04.4% Paul
The differences in Alabama are more somewhat more significant:
  • 34.5% Santorum
  • 29.3% Gingrich
  • 29.0% Romney
  • 05.0% Paul
I believe anyone not out to play gotcha would say that the top three candidates ran very close to even in both states. There was no clear favorite as each of the top three won roughly 3 in 10 of the primary votes. Source for the Associated Press data is Google.

Preliminary results from the caucuses in Hawaii show Ron Paul doing better, perhaps coming in third. With 36% of precincts reporting Mitt Romney is leading. Again this is Associated Press data on Google.