Sunday, March 25, 2012

Fun With Numbers

The New York Times reports the Associated Press numbers for delegates earned by each of the four candidates for the GOP presidential nomination. Romney has 568, Santorum has 273, Gingrich has 135, and Paul has 50. A minimum of 1144 are needed for nomination.

Romney has more than twice as many delegates as Santorum, who has more than twice as many as Gingrich, who has more than twice as many as Paul. Romney is just 8 delegates shy of halfway to an 1144 majority. He has more delegates than the other three guys combined, 568 vs. 458.

On the other hand, when you look at how many votes each has received, the spread is tighter. RealClearPolitics reports the following numbers: Romney 4,127,915; Santorum 2,850,541; Gingrich 2,212,001; and Paul 1,079,751.

Romney has 55% of the delegates, but has only gotten roughly 40% of the votes cast. It's the 60% voting "other-than-Romney" that encourages Rick and Newt and keeps them in the race. Ron Paul as a spokesperson of the libertarian cause seems not to care a lot about winning.