What if voting patterns give Republicans the edge in midterm elections and Democrats the lead in years when a president will be elected? A win in 2014 might give the GOP a "false positive" outcome.
Ron Brownstein of National Journal believes that recent election outcomes trend in that direction. Young voters and minority voters have tended to turn out more strongly when the presidency is at stake, which benefits Democrats. During the midterm elections, the older, whiter voters tend to make up a larger proportion of the total votes, giving the GOP an edge.
