Ruy Teixeira keeps writing columns trying to get his Democrats to change course, these make very agreeable reading for Republicans. Some choice pickings from his latest article which looks at Catalist's demographic breakdown of the 2024 election data.
Obama carried black voters in 2012 by an amazing 93 points. Harris managed only a 71-point margin. Democratic decline: 22 points.
Obama carried Latinos by 35 points; in 2024, the Democratic margin was down to just 8 points. Democratic decline: 27 points.
Obama was the last Democratic presidential candidate to carry the working class as a whole (2-point margin). (snip) Democratic decline: 12 points.
In 2012, Obama dominated Hispanic voters under 30 by 51 points. In 2024, the Democratic margin among these voters was just 14 points. Democratic decline: 37 points.
The widening of the gender gap between 2012 and 2024 is entirely attributable to Democrats doing worse among men, not to doing better among women.
I'm loving these numbers, obviously Teixeira is not. He thinks they prove Dems should change from a DEI pitch to an economic message. Dems on the other hand think their problem is that they have no Trump-style performer-candidate.
I think it is both. The Dems' DEI message resonates with many who've experienced university indoctrination, but they constitute a minority of voters. And Trump is a uniquely talented politician.
