Power Line’s Scott Johnson reports poll findings from The Wall Street Journal (behind paywall) with bad news for Democrats.
The survey finds that 63% of voters hold an unfavorable view of the Democratic Party—the highest share in Journal polls dating to 1990 and 30 points higher than the 33% who hold a favorable view. That’s a far weaker assessment than voters give to Trump or the GOP, who are viewed more unfavorably than favorably by 7 points and 11 points, respectively.
However, GOP optimism isn’t entirely warranted.
The weight of history favors Democrats, as presidents rarely escape a voter backlash in their first midterm election. McInturff, the Republican pollster, points out that five successive presidents have lost control of Congress.
Moreover, voters are continually looking for change. In nine of the last 10 presidential or midterm elections, voters have changed party control of the House, Senate or White House.
Meaning … Trump is entirely wise to get as much done as possible during the first two years of his second term in office. History suggests he will be hard pressed to keep control of the House after the 2026 mid-term election, especially given his very slim majority now.
