Thursday, September 8, 2011

A Turkey-Israel War Possible?

Turkey now says its naval vessels will escort the next convoy of aid ships to Gaza. Israel will presumably attempt to stop these ships as it did the last convoy. See this Reuters article for details.

Israeli attacks on Turkish naval escort vessels could be a casus belli, leading to a Turkish declaration of war against Israel. The Turkish military is roughly five times as big as that of Israel, though likely not as capable on a man-for-man basis.

Whether Israel could defend itself against Turkey without using nukes is anybody's guess. If several Arab countries joined the conflict, there could be mushroom clouds blossoming all over the Middle East.