Sunday, August 3, 2014

Consolidation of the White Vote

Chris Cillizza writes politics for The Washington Post. In this article he reluctantly admits that the Republican Party may benefit from whites migrating to the GOP.

Cillizza quotes political scientist Marisa Abrajano at U.C. San Diego, as suspecting immigration will spark a white backlash in America. She writes:
Given that whites still make up about three-quarters of the voters in the nation and will likely be the clear majority for decades to come, there is every reason to believe that whites will have a real say in who governs. Indeed the white population’s growing allegiance to the Republican Party points to a very different short term future — one that might more likely be highlighted by Republican victory than by Democratic dominance.

As immigration’s impact on America has grown, whites have fled to the Republican party in ever larger numbers. The end result is that the principal partisan choice of white America has been totally reversed.
Cillizza adds:
The lines between the two parties have grown even starker on immigration. Under Abrajano’s hypothesis, this should drive the white vote even more heavily for Republicans in 2014 as the party is increasingly seen as the home for those concerned about immigration and its effects on society.
In the long run whites will be outnumbered. However, as John Maynard Keynes famously observed, "In the long run we are all dead." I concern myself with the short to medium run.