Monday, August 15, 2016

Brexit May Help the EU and the UK

Writing for The Wall Street Journal, Pierpaolo Barbieri notes that the EU has become more popular among the citizens of its remaining members, now that Britain has announced its departure. He argues the difficulties faced by the U.K. are helping Europeans see that leaving is a bad option. I remain unconvinced.

Other things I've read recently have spoken of a Brexit economic upturn in the U.K., and Brits asking the Project Fear backers when (or if) the promised doom and gloom will arrive. I propose an alternate explanation for the observed increase in pro-EU sentiment post Brexit.

Let's be frank, the U.K. was never a whole-hearted member of the European Union. They didn't join the euro zone, didn't join the Schengen group of borderless countries, and kept asking the EU for special dispensations as deal sweeteners. And they were relative latecomers to the EU "party," only joining in 1973 with Denmark and Ireland.

Continentals may believe the EU will function better, be more harmonious, be less a debating society and more a force for their good without the British sitting at the table, dragging their bespoke heels on nearly every proposal.

It could very well prove to be the case that the EU will be a more effective organization sans Britain. I expect Britain to be a more effective nation without the EU.

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I'm reminded of the elementary school faculty the other DrC joined shortly after our marriage and before she did the PhD. There was continual turmoil and conflict for two years, after which a popular teacher sought and received transfer to another district campus.

The following year there was no conflict and turmoil. It turned out the person who left was causing the trouble but nobody saw it until she was gone. Perhaps the EU will likewise function better without the Brits, and maybe at some level people sense that.