Tuesday, January 5, 2016

A Low-Level Civil War in Turkey

Writing for Politico Europe, Asli Audintasbas argues that Turkey's war against the Kurds is "unwinnable." Meanwhile, writing for the Council on Foreign Relations Stephen A. Cook comments on Turkish President Erdogan's "Hitler problem."

It would be hard to argue Hitler found his "Jewish problem" unwinnable, that's one "war" he did win. If as reported Erdogan admires Hitler, perhaps he will approach his "Kurdish problem" in ways suggested by those of Hitler.

Outright genocide would be difficult to conceal in today's web-connected world. I envision Erdogan making life so miserable in Kurdish areas that people choose to emigrate to Kurdish autonomous regions in Syria or Iraq. Not because he made them do so, but because he "tilted" the cost-benefit balance in favor of leaving. You could argue this effort is already underway.