Tuesday, June 24, 2025

No Surprise

We are hearing this morning that Iran violated the ceasefire giving Israel an excuse to keep bombing them. And we hear that this irritates Trump who was relishing his role as peace-maker. None of this surprises me much.

Let’s remember who has the missiles Iran is firing at Israel. It isn’t the Iranian Army, it is the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. IRGC exists to recruit young Persians who are inspired by the holy cause of Islamic supremacy, and, once recruited, stoking their commitment however possible.

I have no trouble imagining one or more young fanatics manning missile sites who viewed the ceasefire as a betrayal, committed by those less fanatical than they. They might decide to keep the fight going by ignoring the ceasefire. 

There are likewise people in the IDF who would like to keep bombing Iran and are delighted the ceasefire didn’t hold. The undefended skies of Iran must feel like a giant first person shooter video game to IDF pilots who are over it with bombs and missile to unload on bad folks who live to destroy Israel.

Trump is mad because he likes to win. For the ceasefire to fail when he’d already bragged about it is like taking candy from a toddler.

In summary, none of this is surprising but it is disappointing to those of us not actually in the fight. Who would like to have one less war to worry about.