Monday, January 26, 2026

Geography: Unpopular but Relentless

Ten days ago I wrote Canadian PM Carney cozying up to China was unwise, noting this.

I’d think this recent action has moved the notion of a U.S. invasion of Canada from “inconceivable” to “remotely possible.”

Now comes his ill-advised speech at Davos, which could move the notion from “remotely possible” to “unlikely.” If he keeps going this way he could bait Trump into doing something we’d have believed impossible, and Canadians won’t like even a little bit. 

By contrast, Mexico’s President Sheinbaum seems to understand the inevitable logic of being located adjacent to a hegemonic power like the US. Canada once seemed to understand, now … not so much.

At some point it becomes “Geography demands defend you so we might as well own you.” It is the same logic Trump applied to Greenland.