Sunday, May 24, 2026

Rumors of a Treaty

The New York Post reports Iran has agreed to give up its enriched uranium stockpile and forego nuclear weapons, as conditions for a peaceful settlement with the US (and Israel). Final details remain to be settled.

Verification now and in the future will be the major sticking point. Nations in general, and especially those with violent intentions, are loath to have foreign agents poking about their defense establishments. Yet that is what will be required to verify treaty compliance. 

I hope no one in our government is convinced that Iran is dealing in good faith; their holy writ specifically endorses deceiving enemies - al taqqiya. On the other hand, if they fail to permit third-party(?) inspection at some future time, we will still have the equipment and know-how to again bomb them into rubble.

You can be sure Iran expects our next presidential administration, or the one after that, will be willing to look the other way while they restart their nuclear weapon program and once again stir up rebellion in the region. It's what I would do in their situation - bide my time and await another Obama or Biden clone. China's Xi also has this in mind, no doubt.