An 80% Chance

The Washington Post's Chris Cillizza blogs in The Fix, that John Sides calculates the GOP may have an 80% chance of taking control of the U.S. Senate in November's election. Cillizza is no conservative, citing the finding by Sides at The Monkey Cage blog must give him heartburn.

Writing today, Sides explains his conclusion:

Better candidates emerge when conditions in the country favor their party. (snip) And in 2014 — as in most midterm election years - the playing field is tilted away from the president’s party. So we should see good Republican candidates emerging.

The upshot is very good news for Republicans: As of today, this model suggests that they have more than an 80 percent chance of winning control of the Senate.

Who says Mondays can't bring good news?