Friday, February 28, 2025

A River Called The Virgin

The Virgin River begins somewhere in the snowy high mountains of southern Utah, and cuts the spectacular canyon that became Zion National Park. It is the reason the booming city of St. George is located where it is. 

Any river that runs year round through a desert is an amazing thing, A big one - the Nile - created Egypt. The much smaller Virgin cuts another amazing canyon south of the Utah plateau down into far northwestern Arizona, a canyon it shares with I-15 via some really amazing civil engineering. 

The Virgin then exits AZ and enters Nevada where it wanders south and eventually empties into Lake Mead's northern Overton Arm. Tiny communities dot its banks, places like Beaver Dam, Overton and Bunkerville, also Hurricane, La Verkin and Springdale. 

These were founded in many cases by hardy Mormon pioneers hoping to use its water to irrigate some bankside croplands. It was tough going in an unforgiving landscape of rock, sand, and scrub chaparral. Summers are hot enough to kill a person who can't find shade.

They took land nobody much wanted and with back-breaking effort made it support extended polygamous families whose many descendants are often still here, though most no longer farm and only a few are still polygamous.

Volodymyr Asked to Leave

Ukraine President Zelensky met President Trump and VP Vance in the Oval Office and, with cameras and mikes hot, got into a spat with Vance and Trump. Bonchie at RedState has a detailed report of what went down ... it wasn't pretty.

Apparently Zelensky believed Trump wanted a deal badly enough to be bulldozed into giving up something while on TV. If so, he was wrong. Zelensky left without signing the deal. 

Trump has to be angry. My guess is that Trump will give Ukraine no more aid, at least while Zelensky remains President. If the Europeans want to bail out Ukraine they are free to do so. 

Where this leaves Ukraine is unknown, if they now cut a deal with Russia to suspend hostilities the deal will be less favorable without the US as a bargaining partner. 

Histrionics in the Oval Office on live TV, don't we live in interesting times?

Friday Snark

Images courtesy of Politico's 
The Nation's Cartoonists on the Week in Politics.

Thursday, February 27, 2025

Data on Border Crossings

Issues & Insights has a chart produced by U.S. Customs and Border Protection showing illegal border crossings since Trump first took office in 2017.

It should be noted that while only 5-6 weeks of 2025 have been back under Trump, illegal crossings began to drop as soon as he was elected in late 2024. Biden was "missing in action" concerning illegal immigration, he tacitly encouraged it.

Doing so cost the Democrats the 2024 election. With many Hispanics voting for Trump, I wonder if the Ds still think it was worth it?


Wednesday, February 26, 2025

TDS Mimics Tourette's

Power Line's John Hinderaker drops a one-liner as he reacts to Dems' calling whatever the GOP does Nazi behavior.

Democrats don’t really mean the things they say; they just blurt them out like Tourette’s sufferers to relieve the pain they are suffering.

Truly, they do act quite deranged. 

Tuesday, February 25, 2025

The Tactical 'Carrot'

Image courtesy of Politico.

Questions for DOGE

I have questions, for which I think I have answers. As I'm no attorney I may be wrong. 

My first question is this. Most illegal entrants are economic migrants. How is someone coming here illegally and being supported by my tax dollars different than someone stealing my property? In both cases, that individual is taking something that is mine - to which they have no right - because they want it, not because they've earned it.

And my second question. How is it that NGOs assisting illegal immigrants isn't them knowingly and intentionally aiding and abetting federal crime? What's worse, according to DOGE, many of these NGOs are funded at least in part with taxpayer dollars from our government.

Talk about the left hand not knowing what the right hand is doing. ICE is trying to keep illegals out while USAID and other fed-funded sources are paying NGOs to help them get here and stay in country illegally.

Why can't we prosecute NGO employees doing this aiding and abetting? How is this not a criminal conspiracy?

Trump Is No Anomaly

An article in Foreign Affairs notes two sequential trends since 1989. Hat tip to RealClearWorld for the link.

In the two decades that followed the Cold War’s end, globalism gained ground over nationalism. Simultaneously, the rise of increasingly complex systems and networks—institutional, financial, and technological—overshadowed the role of the individual in politics.

But in the early 2010s, a profound shift began. By learning to harness the tools of this century, a cadre of charismatic figures revived the archetypes of the previous one: the strong leader, the great nation, the proud civilization.

The "strong leaders" referred to above are Russia's Putin, China's Xi, Turkey's Erdogan, India's Modi, and our Trump, all are nationalists. It is the zeitgeist. I'd add that in a minor way Argentina's Milei and El Salvador's Bukele are having success with the same playbook.

Trump and comparable tribunes of national greatness are now setting the global agenda. They are self-styled strongmen who place little stock in rules-based systems, alliances, or multinational forums.

In the process, all of these men are demonstrating that individuals can still make a difference in the fate of nations. Seen in this light, perhaps Trump is less of an anomaly than many here have believed. 

In this era, the Davos World Economic Forum is a dinosaur en route to extinction. The United Nations is merely an excuse for third world elites to leave home and experience the pleasures and perils of first world life on an expense account.

Afterthought ... I suppose we should be glad the modern Germans haven't come up with their own charismatic leader. Their last one was a disaster for the world, whereas Merkel was merely a disaster for Germany.

A Legacy?

FL Gov. Ron DeSantis is termed-limited out in 2026. President Trump has endorsed Rep. Byron Donalds (R-FL) who has expressed interest in running to replace DeSantis.

Meanwhile, DeSantis has let friends know he hopes to convince his wife Casey to be a candidate for the Republican nomination for governor. Politico writes it believes Trump basically can give the nomination to Donalds.

I am less certain than Politico that Trump's endorsement makes Donalds a sure thing. DeSantis has developed a strong "brand" in Florida. The popularity of his governing is, I believe, somewhat independent of his voters' fondness for Trump.

In addition, I would not be surprised if the Bradley effect reared its head in Florida. Rep. Donalds is black, most GOP primary voters are not, and FL is a southern state, at least in part.

Sunday, February 23, 2025

Weird Diagnostic Science

Instapundit links to a preliminary report of a study finding a highly suspicious link between Alzheimer's and the bacterium behind chronic periodontitis, Porphyromonas gingivalis.

In separate experiments with mice, oral infection with the pathogen led to brain colonization by the bacteria, together with increased production of amyloid beta (Aβ), the sticky proteins commonly associated with Alzheimer's.

P. gingivalis has been found in the brains of people who have died from AD. Presuming we know antibiotics which kill the gingivitis bacterium, physicians could begin off-label treatment "on spec" with people showing the early stages of AD. 

Saturday, February 22, 2025

The Palestinian Problem

A scholar with a deep understanding of the feelings and needs of both sides lays out for RealClearPolitics why a settlement of the Palestinian question is unlikely. Azar Gat of Tel Aviv University argues that the Palestinians show no signs of giving up their demand for a "right of return" whereas the Israelis cannot grant that and survive.

If he is correct, Israel has only one option and that is some version of the present day Whack-a-Mole situation. In it, Israel lives continuously on guard alongside a hostile population and periodically has to pummel them back into a temporary quiescence. 

People will continue to die on both sides. It is unlikely that the "Gaza Beach" developer's solution proposed by Trump will work. 

Since neither side will give in and neither is willing to move elsewhere, it appears peace will only arrive hand in hand with genocide. Genocide is something of which Israel is "able but unwilling" to do; on the other hand the Palestinian Arabs are "willing but unable." So ... no peace in the foreseeable future.

Saturday Snark

Images courtesy of Power Line's The Week in Pictures
and its Comments section.

What Do You Do Here?

Word on the street is that Musk/DOGE has today sent an email to all Federal employees requiring them to report what they got done last week, with up to five bullet points, copy to their supervisor. Supposedly anyone who does not respond by end-of-business Monday will have resigned.

Hard to know how this will affect someone on sick or annual leave, or on travel status. Wondering how an air traffic controller would answer, perhaps with five flights landed safely? I’m imagining some mid-level bureaucrat listing five meetings attended where he/she represented his/her unit on another interagency task force. 

I know a woman who works for a county government who spends her day watching 30+ CCTV monitors in a courthouse/jail complex. Could she identify five key things she did, if it was a quiet week? Absent a jail break, riot, or VIP visit, likely not.

This is a creative writing assignment. I wonder how many will ask AI to concoct their responses? This will be an uneasy weekend for career Feds.

Wisdom

Instapundit reposts the comments of Aaron MacIntyre regarding the suboptimizing behavior of Europe in the 80 year post-war period. It is a concise statement of what hindsight shows has happened.

Europeans abandoned the defense necessary for their own sovereignty so they could finance welfare states, which they then destroyed with mass immigration.

So now they have infinite migrants, bankrupt social programs, and a complete lack of security.

Assessment: They find themselves near the headwaters of a polluted river with no means of propulsion. Meanwhile night is falling and the wolves gather.

Friday, February 21, 2025

Poll: Majority Favor 2 Sexes Policy

The Quinnippiac University Poll recently asked respondents whether they favored Trump's policy declaration that there are only two sexes. They report:

Fifty-seven percent of voters support President Trump's executive order recognizing only two sexes, male and female, in the United States, while 38 percent oppose it.

Republicans (96 - 4 percent) and independents (59 - 35 percent) support the order, while Democrats (77 - 14 percent) oppose the order.

Independents split 59% in favor, 35% opposed. And men support the policy 68%, oppose 27%; while women oppose it 50% vs. 45% in favor. Another example of "common sense" policy-making.

Friday Snark

Images courtesy of Politico's Nation's Cartoonists on the Week in Politics.

Thursday, February 20, 2025

Time to Decide

Columnist Henry Olsen has written an appraisal of where US relations with the EU and Europe more broadly stand today. "Tough love from the US" would be a fair summary. He writes the following for the Brussels Signal:

Europe now knows where it stands. If it wants a relationship with America, it must have a relationship with all of America, not just the half that it prefers to invite to cocktail parties.

If it wants a seat at the table to form a united front with the United States even in its backyard, it needs to develop the hard military power that commands respect.

If it wants respect from Washington, it must show respect to Alabama, Kansas, and the places in flyover country that elect Republicans. And it must also show respect to their own citizens, often from their own rural and forgotten communities, who feel and vote the same way.

European elites may decide they don’t want a relationship on those terms. That’s certainly one option, and an understandable, if regrettable, one.

But then that’s their choice, not Trump’s. And they will then need to sleep in the bed they have made.

And alas, there is a fair chance they'll find themselves sharing that bed with a rapacious Russian while we get ready to face down China. Hat tip to Ed Driscoll, posting at Instapundit, for the link.

Class War

Ruy Teixeira has a new Liberal Patriot essay which suggests a test for all Democratic Party platform planks: WWWCS. What Would the Working Class Say? His key observation - our politics have become based on social class. It is a good read and some good graphics like the following.


Tuesday, February 18, 2025

Jonah Vindicated

The Biblical story of Jonah being swallowed by a whale has been eliciting eye-rolls among the skeptical since basically forever. Now at least we have evidence it could have actually happened, see video here. 

Hats off to both Jonah and the intrepid kayaker in the video.

Wisdom

Stephen Green quotes economist Thomas Sowell, in reference to international relations.

There are no solutions. There are only tradeoffs.

Analysis … true.

Cotton on China

Power Line’s John Hinderaker posts a quote from a new book by Sen. Tom Cotton (R-AR), who now chairs the Senate Intelligence Committee. Cotton (no relation) writes:

As a member of the Senate Intelligence Committee, I’m often asked if the threat from China is as bad as it seems. My answer is no — it’s worse than you can imagine.

Which is to say, dire, unless the lingering effects of its “one child” policy cripple it from within, a real possibility.

Monday, February 17, 2025

Tough Love

Last week in Munich Vice President JD Vance told the other members of NATO the US "gravy train" was fast approaching the end of the line. He made clear that we weren't very impressed with their free-riding delegation of their defense to the US military. Canada is an especially egregious offender.

Trump isn't even slightly worried about hurting their feelings. Every president since Reagan has told them the same thing, but they seem to have heard it at long last. 

This realism shock is long overdue. It is far from clear if the political will exists in the EU to enable them to step up their game and protect themselves.

Monday Snark

Images courtesy of RealClearPolitics Cartoons of the Week.

Arguing Causes

Many people are going nuts over an opinion expressed by CBS’s Margaret Brennan who claimed too much free speech was responsible for the rise of the Nazis in Germany. There was, of course, no free speech under the Nazis, once in office - a point most critics make.

However you could argue if the Weimar government had refused to allow Hitler to hold his rallies, own a newspaper, and to speak on radio - basically censored him - maybe Germany might have taken a different direction in the 1930s. That is merely a speculation Hitler caused the rise of the right.

The issue is do “great men” create history, or do historical forces create the leaders they need? I can argue it either way, perhaps it is some of both. Maybe Hitler really did create the Nazi movement. In which case Brennan has a point.

It is equally plausible the German right was fueled by the Versailles Treaty ending World War I, and Hitler was who emerged to lead the reaction to it. Perhaps something like the Nazi movement was inevitable given the Weimar inflation, the worldwide depression, and the treaty’s punishing provisions.

Later … About whether Hitler flourished in an environment of  free speech, it appears he flourished in spite of considerable attempts to shut him up. See an Ed Driscoll post at Instapundit for details. Thus making the criticism of Brennan valid.

Tough Odds

At COTTonLINE we don't have to be deadly serious all the time, here's a link to a fun article with a catchy title.

The Typical Man Disgusts the Typical Woman

The title is cute, nearly a thirst trap. The column is more serious, introducing the reader to the somewhat exotic concept of hypergamy. That is serious evolutionary stuff indeed. 

Still, the author treats it as less of a tragedy and more as the basis for some really common sense recommendations. If you struggled through the dating minefield long ago and can look back on it with some perspective, what's he has written will likely ring true.

If you are still in the process of finding "the one" and having a tough time, at least you'll gain some perspective on the reason it is hard and can be nasty. Like growing old, dating is not for cowards.

Saturday, February 15, 2025

Saturday Snark

Images courtesy of Power Line's The Week in Pictures
and its Comments section.

Proposing Extreme Federalism

An interesting post by Mark Tapscott at Instapundit who links to a Substack column proposing what I choose to call “extreme federalism.” The pseudonymous author imagines a US future with the present 50 states and new ones like Canada, Greenland, and Gaza. 

It imagines TX, CA, FL, and more as sovereign states going their own ways, pursuing their own policies, sharing relatively few laws at the Supra-state level. It is viewed as an ‘evolutionary’ governmental form.

Would it work? I am unsure. It is a fun-to-think-about abstraction. Upon further reflection, it is somewhat like libertarianism at the state level. Cohesive foreign policy would be impossible.

About EVs

Writing for RealClearPolitics, David Harsanyi looks at EV market acceptance, pronounces it a niche product, and concludes as follows.

The Department of Energy doesn't lend money to Solyndra or Rivian because these companies have the best people, the best ideas or the best chance of creating self-sustaining jobs. They lend it to companies because state central planners like the idea of solar and EVs to combat an imaginary climate emergency.

Now, if people want to buy electric cars, of course they should be able to. I know people who love them -- the quiet engine, the quick acceleration, the way they look. One assumes there would be a profitable niche market for EVs if the industry significantly scaled back production.

Let's find out. Because taxpayers shouldn't be subsidizing their rides.
Indeed. As we’ve written before, there is a a niche for vehicles that combine the best features of a golf cart and an automobile, That niche is as a local vehicle for households (a) with their own at-home charger which also have (b) an ICE powered car capable of conveniently accomplishing non-local trips.

The snowbird DrsC are such a household, we could install chargers at both homes if our local vehicles - 2 older SUVs - weren’t also ICE powered.

Friday, February 14, 2025

Friday Snark

Images courtesy of Politico's Nation's Cartoonists on the Week in Politics.

Cowardice

Here is a quote by JD Vance spoken at the Munich Security Conference. He berated them for limiting free speech in pursuit of social peace. Vance is reacting to reports of a man arrested for praying outside an abortion clinic, and others in trouble for posting online about Muslim grooming gangs.

Europe faces many challenges, but the crisis this continent faces right now, the crisis I believe we all face together, is one of our own making. If you’re running in fear of your own voters, there is nothing America can do for you, nor, for that matter, is there anything that you can do for the American people who elected me and elected President Trump.

Translation … “You’re screwed and hopeless.” Hat tip to Ed Driscoll posting at Instapundit for the link. 

Thursday, February 13, 2025

Good News re HHS

I just heard new HHS Secretary Bob Kennedy being interviewed by Laura Ingraham on her Fox News show. He indicated he would not interfere with vaccine availability or junk food.

He wants to make good science available about the risks as well as the benefits of the vaccines. I support that, and I support vaccines generally, I’ve had most of them except the most recent Covid vaccines. 

If you’ve noticed I haven’t posted for a couple of days, it’s because I’ve been ill, I’m certain it’s nothing life threatening. I get the flu vaccine every fall and mostly it works.  

Whatever I’ve got now may be flu but is probably something else - no fever but no energy, a cough, and too many trips to the toilet. It is unpleasant but not scary. In a long life I’ve had my share of “unpleasant,” it comes with the territory.

Monday, February 10, 2025

Missing Data

In honor of the Super Bowl yesterday, Steve Hayward of Power Line posts the following potentially misleading chart. It looks at NFL players' contributions to the two major political parties. 

It shows the percentage of those contributing to each party. Big advantage in donors to Republicans, but the few Democrats gave more each, on average.


What you don't learn from the chart is what percentage made political contributions. It might be true that most players don't. You could get charts like these if only 20 players contributed and 19 of them gave to Republicans, interesting maybe but not significant. 

If most players give to political parties, it means something, but we have no idea of what percentage do.

Grift or Graft

From Instapundit Glenn Reynolds, a quote about the current scene to cherish.

Nowadays if they’re calling you racist, it usually just means they’re defending some sort of grift or graft.

Truly. 

Sunday, February 9, 2025

Civil Service Bloat

At various times I have spent a total of nearly three years inside the Federal bureaucracy, though never a true "civil servant" as I was never permanent. But I worked with the true civil service, made friends there, talked about the nature of the culture, and learned a lot in the process. 

If you're wondering why the government employment is bloated, one reason is the more people you supervise - what in business they call "direct reports" - the higher your pay grade is likely to be. If you supervise people who themselves supervise others, it goes even higher. Thus it is to your advantage to grow the workforce reporting to you.

Another reason you want more workers is that you will almost inevitably have some subordinates who are ineffective but who for one reason or another you cannot fire. Perhaps they are DEI hires, are "connected," or are careful not to give you evidence to use against them. Plus, the organizational culture discourages firing people by making it quite difficult to do.

So you hire another person to do the work the loser should be doing. They sit there on your payroll doing very little but their very presence increases the number you supervise and that alone is good for you personally, if not good for the agency or the taxpayer.

There are also some very talented people who work for the Feds, and they are often as irritated by their do-nothing colleagues as you would be. Be glad they exist. 

Inevitably some of these winners will be cut when the Musk whirlwind sweeps a lot of losers out of the government service. It happens with some frequency in the private sector. A desire to avoid this sort of collateral damage is another reason for civil service bloat.

Hearing Deteriorates with Age

One of the downsides of a long life is the deterioration of hearing among seniors. Mine - once normal - has gotten kinda bad, an audiologist estimated I have about 25% of normal hearing. I've worn hearing aids for over a decade.

With them you and I could sit in a quiet room and, presuming I can see your face, carry on a reasonable conversation. Put me in a noisy neighborhood party in someone's family room with six different conversations going on at once and my hearing aids are overwhelmed. Ditto in a noisy restaurant. 

Hearing aids are designed to magnify the audio frequencies of the human voice but many voices at once are too much. I can't sort out the one I'm trying to focus on from all the equally amplified background speech.

I go to parties and restaurants, I sit there looking pleasant and interested but I am basically disconnected from the flow of conversation. Because of that, the parties are social obligations I willingly perform but do not happily anticipate. In restaurants I concentrate on eating, the pleasure of which has not diminished. I let others carry the conversation.

The other DrC and I always have the subtitles turned on for TV or a movie at home, we both find them helpful, if occasionally incomplete or laughably incorrect. Our last couple of attempts at seeing a film at a theater found us guessing at the dialog, and we haven't gone back.

If you have an older friend whose hearing is diminished, please encourage them to get hearing aids. They are not perfect but they keep us from being isolated except as noted above. 

New ones are rechargeable overnight while you sleep. A very nice feature is that they can Bluetooth directly with your smart phone, enable this for sure. A set of aids will last about 5 years, I'm on my third pair and wouldn't willingly be without them.

Here's an unsolicited plug for Costco hearing aids. If you have a peripatetic lifestyle like the DrsC, the advantage beyond lower cost is that wherever you go, there is a Costco you can stop at and get them serviced free of charge while you shop. 

Their data base will show you bought the aids from Costco. They service what they sell and are - in my experience - uniformly helpful. Recently they connected the other DrC's aids with a new cell phone.

Hearing loss is associated with age-related dementia, via isolation. Don't be ashamed to wear aids, I still have to ask folks to repeat speech more often than I'd like, but without them I would be lost.

Saturday, February 8, 2025

Saturday Snark

"A man needs to know his incantations."

Images courtesy of Power Line's The Week in Pictures
and its Comments section.