Wednesday, November 2, 2016

COTTonLINE Prediction Looking Good

CNN reports for early voters, turnout among blacks is down. See what CNN writes is happening:
A dip in African-American turnout has knocked Democratic early voting numbers off their 2012 pace in key battleground states like North Carolina.

The trend is also evident in early vote data from other swing states that could play key roles in deciding the election, including Florida and Georgia.

Republicans appear to be in better position than they were in previous presidential elections in Florida, Iowa, North Carolina and Ohio, while Democrats have improved their standing in Colorado and Arizona.
COTTonLINE is not surprised. We predicted eighteen months ago Clinton could never motivate minority voters the way Obama did, and repeated that prediction again in September of this year, here and here. I'd remind you we also predicted, if Clinton loses, the Democrats will hereafter nominate only persons of color for president.