Monday, January 8, 2018

An Ominous Omen?

James Taranto writes for The Wall Street Journal. Today he reports the results of an interview with Stanford political scientist Morris Fiorina:
He believes the U.S. has entered an era in which no party can hold a majority for very long. (snip) The party controlling the House, Senate or White House changed in seven of the nine elections between 2000 and 2016—the only exceptions being the presidential re-election years, 2004 and 2012.
Fiorina attributes this instability to the polarization of the parties and their donors, while he says the electorate is not polarized. I wonder if he is correct about the electorate?

Fiorina’s pattern suggests 2018, as a non-presidential year, should see the Dems win either the House or Senate. Speaker Ryan and Majority Leader McConnell had better get busy; it’s likely the GOP’s window of opportunity will close next January and we’ll be back to gridlock.

Or perhaps, as he has in so many ways, Trump will break the pattern. The Taranto article is worth your time and attention. Hat tip to Instapundit for the link.