Salim Mansur, writing in the Toronto Sun, anticipates China falling apart the way the old Soviet Union did. This is an interesting idea, and one about which I've seen little public speculation.
Clearly the Tibetans would like "out," as would the Muslim Uighur Turks in western China. Taiwan is already "out" de facto, if not de jure. Anybody want to guess what the folks in Hong Kong would choose to do? Yep, "out" is the answer.
Mansur doesn't mention it, but the leaders of China pretty clearly hope to make the transition to a Singapore-style one party state with prosperity (key word) and happy citizens. Anybody want to get up a pool on whether they'll succeed and if not, when they'll fail?
