There has been a sh*t ton of bad commentary on the war in Iran, and some that isn't bad at all. One of the latter is this Substack column by an Australian writing as Lorenzo from Oz. Among other things, he's apparently something of a historian. Hat tip to Sarah Hoyt posting at Instapundit for the link.
I particularly call your attention to Lorenzo's notion of strategy being a decision tree. Implicit in the idea is that much as you might deplore it, the enemy has some independence of action. You have to be prepared to deal with whatever tactics and strategy he comes up with. And to take advantage of any unexpected opportunities which occur.
