Saturday, August 20, 2011

More on Intensity

Okay, politics junkies, remember yesterday I said Charlie Cook was not looking at "voter intensity?" This morning I see a link in Lucianne that takes me via Don Surber of the Daily Mail to Tom Jensen who blogs for the Democratic polling firm Public Policy Polling.

Jensen says PPP has found that intensity gap I predicted has resurfaced. Here are the numbers: 48% of Democrats are "very excited" about voting whereas 54% of Republicans really want to vote. Jensen observes:
It had seemed earlier in the year like Democrats had overcome the 'enthusiasm gap' that caused so much of their trouble in last year's elections.
It's a long way until November 2012 and Obama certainly has time to redeem himself but for the first time in his Presidency I really do think he has an issue with the Democratic base.
On another topic, Jensen's polling data says majorities of Democrats and independents think higher taxes are needed to control the debt crisis. No kidding. Since half of the populace doesn't pay any federal income tax, higher tax rates don't bother them.

How about a proposal to require everybody who earns income to pay federal income taxes? I wonder how popular that would be? In the current idiom, not so much.