As you may know, Obama has announced that he is running for re-election in 2012. Would you say you will definitely vote for him, you’ll consider voting for him, or you definitely will not vote for him?
The answers from the WaPo August 9 poll, for registered voters, are as follows: definitely will vote for Obama 21%, will consider voting for him 30%, definitely will not vote for Obama 46%. My crude arithmetic says only 1/6 of the "will consider" group has to decide their answer is "no" for Obama to lose.
Those are tough odds. He could convince 5 out of 6 members of the "will consider" group and still not win. I'm not surprised the WaPo didn't particularly draw attention to this finding.
