Friday, November 29, 2013

China's Next Six Wars

An article in an official PRC newspaper Wenweipo identifies "Six Wars China Is Sure to Fight in the Next 50 Years." See a somewhat awkward English translation thereof by Stratrisks.

Treat the six wars as interesting speculations, long-range planning, ultra-nationalist aspirations or trial balloons, take your pick. Here they are:
The 1st War: Unification of Taiwan (Year 2020 to 2025)
The 2nd War: “Reconquest” of Spratly Islands (Year 2025 to 2030)
The 3rd War: “Reconquest” of Southern Tibet (Year 2035 to 2040)
The 4th War: “Reconquest” of Diaoyu Island [Senkaku] and Ryuku Islands (Year 2040 to 2045)
The 5th War: Unification of Outer Mongolia (Year 2045 to 2050)
The 6th War: Taking Back of Lands Lost to Russia (Year 2055 to 2060) 
The translation explains how each war might come about and how each should be prosecuted. Plus an article in the Australian Strategic Policy Institute's blog The Strategist, evaluates the Six Wars predictions.