Friday, November 29, 2013

Good News and Bad News in Honduras

Honduras recently held a presidential election with eight candidates running. Juan Orlando Hernandez of the incumbent's National Party, running on a tough law-and-order platform, won a plurality and will likely be the new president. See a Global Post article for details, including rampant lawlessness and gang activity.

For hemisphere watchers concerned about the emergence of another left-wing Sandinista-type government in Honduras, the election results are good news. The bad news is that National Party candidate Hernandez only won 35% of the vote, whereas his crypto-Sandinista opponent Xiomara Castro won 29%. Presumably the other six candidates split the remaining 36%.

In the new Honduran government the National Party will control 47 of 128 congressional seats, Castro's Libre Party will control 39, and the Liberal Party will have 26. The President-elect faces either coalition-formation or gridlock, further bad news this unfortunate country doesn't need.