6. Barack Obama’s re-election campaign will jettison the strategy of defending his record for a simple reason: it is indefensible. (snip) As a result, Obama will unleash the most sustained, negative campaign by any incumbent in modern American history.
George H.W. Bush had the successful Gulf War I but ignored domestic politics; Obama has the successful bin Laden take-down but has ignored domestic politics. Bush I couldn't get reelected, Obama understands the similarity of his situation.
