Absent big — and for the moment, unlikely — Democratic gains in congressional races, the chances are high that the election will not bring clarity but more divided government. That means part of Obama’s election-year message, at least implicitly, is to elect him not for what he would do but for what he would stop conservative Republicans from doing.
Republicans want to rein in entitlements, an agenda not popular with seniors. Seniors might vote for BHO as a way to forestall the GOP agenda.