Tuesday, January 10, 2012

New Hampshire Votes

New Hampshire held the nation's first primary election today (Iowa does caucuses instead). Mitt Romney took 39.4% of the vote, Ron Paul came in second with 22.8%, Jon Huntsman got 16.8%, followed by Newt Gingrich at 9.4%, Rick Santorum at 9.3%, and Rick Perry got 0.7%. These results reflect 95% of the precincts reporting, according to the Associated Press and Google.

My reactions are these: Santorum lost his Iowa momentum. Romney kicked butt, as expected. Paul did not exceed expectations, but seems to attract young voters - not sure why since he's a cranky old guy. Huntsman got a boost but would have been more impressive if he' beaten Paul.

Perry put in no effort and his results reflect that; he's spent the week in South Carolina where he believes he has a much better chance. If Perry does poorly in SC expect him to quit. Ditto Gingrich, both he and Perry expect South Carolina to be where they "catch fire." My guess...they're deluding themselves.

What interests me is that each of these candidates speaks to a distinct segment of the GOP. I stand by my prediction that Romney will be the nominee, unless he says something monumentally stupid.