Thursday, August 2, 2018

Not a Monolithic Voting Bloc

The Washington Times reports a counteintuitive polling result.
A recent Harvard/Harris poll recorded a 10-point spike in Hispanic support for Mr. Trump.

Unemployment among Hispanics has fallen to its lowest level in decades, and there’s little doubt that Mr. Trump’s pro-business policies are the reason.

Based on past polls and past voting behavior, about 20-25 percent of Hispanics consistently vote Republican in national elections. By contrast, roughly 45-40 percent vote Democratic. That leaves a “swing” constituency of about 30-35 percent. How they vote depends largely on the quality of the candidates, their leadership abilities and their attitudes toward Hispanics as an ethnic group.
What I know is that Hispanics came here to work and earn a living. The Trump economy’s excellent employment opportunities certainly help them achieve that goal. And those already here don’t benefit by the arrival of more who will compete for the same jobs.