Thursday, June 23, 2016

Awaiting Results

I'm reasonably certain the Brexit polls have closed in Britain. Now we wait for results to be posted. Apparently there are no exit polls because such seem possible only in places where a similar item has been voted on previously. How having a precedent helps us if we're asking people how they voted is unclear.

I've written I believe this vote will be the most consequential vote of this decade, perhaps longer. A "leave" plurality will cause no end of turmoil in Europe and at least some for those of us who care about Europe.

I've been reading a variety of Brit pundits on the topic and the agreement is relatively general that the underlying issue between leavers and stayers is social class. Leavers are like Trump voters here, the people with the most to lose and least to gain from staying, which is to say, from the status quo.