Power Line’s John Hinderaker mines a Charles Blow column from the New York Times (behind paywall) to make several points conservatives won’t mind reading. First, a Norm Ornstein quote from the Blow article:
By 2040 or so, 70 percent of Americans will live in 15 states. Meaning 30 percent will choose 70 senators. And the 30 percent will be older, whiter, more rural, more male than the 70 percent.To which Blow adds:
If you think it has been hard to get this Senate to embrace policies like reparations or voting rights that stand to benefit Black people, imagine how much harder that task will be before a Senate that continues to tilt toward smaller states.
Furthermore, a Pew demographic analysis has found that by 2065, Hispanics in America will nearly double the population of Black people, and Asians will overtake Black people as the nation’s second-largest minority.
Each of these groups have their own specific legislative agendas. How high on the list of priorities will be the agenda of the third-largest minority group at that point?
Hinderaker’s conclusion:
Liberals have confidently believed that demography is on their side; even that it makes their ultimate victory inevitable. But as Blow correctly observes, demographic tides may be moving in a very different direction.
To which I’d add this caveat: Ornstein wrote his warning before the pandemic got lots of people to work from home, something many won’t give up willingly. Right now the migratory trends are away from the east and west coasts, who knows if that newer trend will continue once we’re mostly vaccinated?
