In the wake of Clinton’s announcement, for example, many have noted that she might do better than President Obama among women. But, if that’s true, it doesn’t eliminate the possibility that she might do worse among men. Or that black turnout may be down or Latinos less hostile to the GOP.Nonwhites won't feel the same excitement about Hillary that electing a non-white president provided. They may not vote GOP but they could sure stay home in large numbers.
One group Hillary might do well among is women independents. I question whether millennials will vote for a woman older than their grandmother to be president.
