Thursday, January 27, 2022

More on Ukraine

Multiple sources are reporting the Ukraine government is telling its people not to worry, that a Russian invasion is not immanent. Everybody who is thought knowledgable here in the U.S. is saying it looks like Russia will invade, sooner rather than later. One of the two is wrong, I certainly don't know which. 

Meanwhile our President has said that if an invasion occurs, we will somehow arrange for the Russia-to-Germany NordStream 2 pipeline not to function. Have the Germans agreed to this threatened sanction?

If they have agreed to a Nord Stream cutoff, it would be like Putin to retaliate by cutting off the gas flow through Ukraine to let Europe shiver in the winter cold. China is said to have agreed to buy all of Russia's gas output, spending money they earned from selling us stuff. If Biden merely thinks Germany will agree and they say "no," then what?

The pipeline runs along the Baltic Sea bed and could easily enough be sabotaged. If this happened and the U.S. was suspected to have done it, I can imagine Germany pulling out of NATO which would basically kill the alliance. Serious stuff, this.

As noted earlier, we live in "interesting" times.