When I wrote a couple of days ago that last minute impeachment was unlikely, I fear I did not make clear that what I believed unlikely was the Senate voting for it. It clearly appears that the Pelosi-run House will vote to impeach Trump again, presumably on Wednesday.
However, McConnell has made clear it will not come to the Senate floor for a vote prior to Trump leaving office. Schumer intends for the new 50-50 Senate, where he will preside, to take it up even though such action is Constitutionally questionable.
If red-hot hate is enough to push it through, it is a done deal. What happens then is anybody’s guess. Perhaps it will be up to the Supremes to decide if a person no longer in office can be impeached and if so, what practical effect this quixotic action might have.