Tuesday, August 3, 2021

CA's Most Conservative Cohort

Newsweek (it still exists, online) has an article by economist Philip Pilkington who claims demographic changes give the Republicans an advantage. Yes, you read that correctly. His position is exactly opposite to the one most legacy media have taken, they predict a demographic edge for Democrats. 

Pilkington's point is that most immigrants are Hispanic, they are socially conservative, and thus a better fit with the GOP. I wasn't sure I bought his argument, although I liked it. Then, tonight I spotted the following at the Daily Caller.

Daily Caller reports the findings of an Inside California Politics/Emerson College poll of CA voters ahead of the recall Gov. Newsom election in September.

The poll of 1,000 registered voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3%, showed Californians are split on the issue with 46% in favor of recalling Newsom and 48% are against it. Among Hispanics, 54% said they would vote to recall.

A majority of black and Asian respondents support keeping Newsom, while among whites, support for and opposition to removing the governor is evenly split, according to the poll.

Who would have guessed that Hispanics are the most conservative ethnic cohort in California? Not me, that's for sure. It argues the relationship predicted by Pilkington might indeed be valid. 

In light of the above, Instapundit wisecracked, "WATCH DEMOCRATS ENDORSE THE WALL."