Friday, December 31, 2021
Pro-Filibuster Snark
Decoding Liberalspeak
Power Line's Steven Hayward mixes snark with truth and posts a year-end clarification of "what certain terms mean for liberals:"
- Populism: When the wrong person or cause wins a free election. (Think Brexit and Trump.)
- Racism: Any opposition to the agenda of the left.
- Democracy: Any institutional design or voting system that enables the left to get what it wants.
I find these clarifications help when forced, against my will, to listen to Biden, Schumer, Pelosi, Warren, AOC, or Sanders. Not even Democrats will listen to Harris.
Goodbye to 2021
Today we say farewell to the year 2021. On balance it hasn’t been a winner. This hasn’t been a stroll in the sunlit uplands, enjoying a light breeze and gorgeous vistas. It has been more like plodding through a dreary landscape you’d just like to get beyond.
I wish I could see nicer times ahead, but honestly I don’t. The midterm election happens in 2022 and both major parties will claim a victory by the other will be disastrous. Oddly, viewed from the perspective of where each party would like the US to be, a victory by the other is disastrous-ish.
In other words, brace yourselves for an even more polarized polity. Regardless of who wins, many will be bitterly unhappy with the outcome. And there is no end yet in sight for Covid. With a bit of luck, you may be able to exercise something not unlike the Benedict option and shield yourself and those you care about from the worst of it.
Postscript: Surviving 2021 is not bad, some 800,000 of our peers didn't, with Covid as the (at least "contributing") cause.
Avoid Cruises?
You may have read a report, like this from CBS News, that the Center for Disease Control warns people to avoid taking cruises in the current Covid environment, regardless of one's vaccination status. Perhaps you thought they were being alarmist?
Sorry, they’re not exaggerating. Cruise ships are great places to catch communicable diseases; take it from someone who has almost certainly cruised more than you have. More often than I like, I caught something and spent half the cruise hacking and miserable. And this was before Covid-19.
The other DrC and I lectured on cruise ships for several years, and we’ve since done many cruises as passengers. Our long cruises have included Singapore to Rome, San Diego to, and around, Australia, Tahiti to Ft. Lauderdale, and multiple Pacific crossings. Pre-Covid I’d estimate my chances of getting a shipboard cold or bronchitis being about one cruise in three. At home I rarely get sick.
This time the CDC is correct. During a plague year, do yourself a favor and don’t cruise. Probably the safest vacation travel you can do, from a disease perspective, is in an RV, eating meals you prepared, and avoiding motels and restaurants. We rarely get ill while RVing; not never but truly rarely.
Thursday, December 30, 2021
Not Liking the Answers
The Guardian, a leftwing British paper, asked its readers the following question about Time's Person of the Year. Power Line has the story.
Time Magazine chose billionaire Tesla boss Elon Musk – but who would be your choice?
This form has been deactivated and is closed to any further submissions.
No one from the paper has gone on record but the presumption is that most of their respondents were voting for Harry Potter author J. K. Rowling. She is currently on the left's sh** list for unapologetically writing biological sex is a real thing. The left views this as being transphobic.
The Guardian appears to have violated the old prosecutor's rule, never ask a question when you don't know in advance the answer you will get. I guess they could have tossed the data and reported as winning somebody they actually liked. The fact they didn't suggests they believe their employees would have ratted out that subterfuge.
In Britain, people buy or subscribe to papers the way US cable TV viewers watch cable news, they buy a paper whose politics they like. Why The Guardian's progressive readers would pick Rowling is a mystery to me and probably to the paper's editors.
The Guardian discovered what Rasmussen Reports learned when they polled about how many genders people believe exist. Three quarters of their US respondents, agreeing with Rowling, said just two.
Wednesday, December 29, 2021
Maxwell Guilty
The New York Post reports Ghislaine Maxwell has been convicted of sex trafficking underage victims for Jeffrey Epstein. Now things get really interesting, in the period between conviction and sentencing.
Assuming the prosecutor is aggressive, this is the time to get Maxwell to turn state's evidence against various prominent co-abusers in return for a reduced sentence. That's assuming the 60 year old Maxwell hopes to get out of prison before dying of old age.
It is also the time to guard against Maxwell being the recipient of the same 'tender mercy' which Epstein experienced when nobody was looking. Some people, making reference to the Clintons, call it "Arkancide."
Our 2021
Did You Know?
In an Amac article describing how minority voters, especially minority men, are beginning to vote Republican in substantial numbers, the following quote showed up. I hadn’t seen this particular claim before.
The last Democrat to win the white vote nationally was Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964, when he won 62% of white votes overall.
It has been a “thing” for half a century that people of color vote Democrat. Somehow, nobody says the obverse, that whites vote Republican.
Many Hispanics do not feel aggrieved and are beginning to vote for the GOP which believes the US is a good place, a good country, not broken. Hat tip to Stephen Green, posting at Instapundit, for the link.
Tuesday, December 28, 2021
A Bye-Ku for Harry Reid
Former Sen. Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) has died at age 82, after a battle with pancreatic cancer. To his memory, we offer a bye-ku, a haiku of farewell.
Harry Reid is gone.His legacy is unclear.He was no charmer.
No Sale
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 75% of American Adults agree that there are only two genders, male and female. That total includes 63% who Strongly Agree. Eighteen percent (18%) disagree.
It would appear that Democrats are seriously out of step with the electorate on this issue.
Monday, December 27, 2021
Population Shifts, Charted
Yesterday I wrote about Plague Year Numbers, today Steven Hayward of Power Line has charts which look at demographic changes - plus and minus - for the 50 states plus DC. The charts cover what took place during the 12 months from July 1, 2020, to July 1, 2021.
As you would expect, Steve's charts very much support the generalizations drawn by Michael Barone, which were the basis of yesterday's discussion. In the past year, only 2 of the 9 states which levy no personal income taxes also lost population - AK and WA. The net population gain for the 9 state group was just under half a million people, almost entirely at the expense of the other states which do tax income.
Defeats in the Culture War
Eleanor Bartow writes for The Federalist on the topic captured by her title, "13 Happenings in 2021 That I Never Would Have Believed 5 Years Ago." Essentially she bemoans the culture war we are losing. Here are her 13 titles, most self-explanatory.
1. Men As Women
2. Blocking Puberty
3. Drafting Women
4. Not Prosecuting Crime
5. Massive Illegal Immigration
6. Widespread Censorship
7. Parents Labeled Terrorists
8. President's Mental Ability Challenged
9. Asking Athletes for Advice
10. Record Debt and Inflation
11. Covid Restrictions Continue and Some Increase
12. Major Scientific Advances Not Celebrated
13. Losing Our Lead (in space and weaponry)
I honestly disagree with #9, thinking athletes and entertainers have special insights into problems outside their field of specialization is stupid to be sure, but sadly nothing new. Since Covid didn't exist 5 years ago of course you wouldn't have believed anything about it. And since we reward politicians for government spending and punish them for raising taxes, #10 is inevitable, and also not new.
The rest? I agree.
Dear Newcomer
Musing about the previous post-with-photo, I am reminded of a snarky sign that hung in our WY county services office in a neighboring town. It advised all who entered of the following:
We don’t care how they did it
where you used to live.
A pointed reminder that you came here because you liked here better, so don’t ask us to be like the place you left behind.
Sunday, December 26, 2021
Miserable Liberals, Happy Conservatives
Power Line's Steven Hayward, in addition to aggregating humorous content for The Week in Pictures, has a serious side on display in a column with this provocative title, "Liberals Are Miserable People." Hayward cites a Journal of Research in Personality study which finds:
Conservatives score higher than liberals on personality and attitude measures that are traditionally associated with positive adjustment and mental health, including personal agency, positive outlook, transcendent moral beliefs, and generalized belief in fairness. These constructs, in turn, can account for why conservatives are happier than liberals and have declined less in happiness in recent decades.
Conservatives are more satisfied with their lives, in general and in specific domains (e.g., marriage, job, residence), report better mental health and fewer mental and emotional problems, and view social justice in ways that are consistent with binding moral foundations, such as by emphasizing personal agency and equity.
What isn't clear is the direction of causation. Does conservatism cause happiness, or are happy people simply conservative because they have few complaints about the status quo? Long time readers of COTTonLINE know I have argued conservatives are those who have figured out how to make the preexisting conditions "work" and are more or less comfortable.
Plague Year Numbers
Michael Barone has been a student of American electoral politics for most of my adult life and, I expect, for most of his as well. Writing for the Washington Examiner, he shares some interesting statistics, links in the original.
The census estimates confirm reports of people fleeing crowded central cities starting at just about the time of the April 1 census. That’s apparent in the states with the nation’s four largest metropolitan areas: New York’s population declined 365,000 (-1.8%), California’s was down 300,000 (-0.8%) and Illinois’s down 141,000 (-1.1%).
Altogether, 20 states lost population, from high-education Massachusetts (-0.6%) to climate-ideal Hawaii (-0.9%). Both were high-lockdown locales.
At the other end of that spectrum, percentage growth was highest in the Rocky Mountain West: Idaho (+3.4%), Utah (+2.2%), Montana (+1.8%), and Arizona (+1.7%). And in Texas (+1.3%). That’s a big deal, because it’s the second-largest state, with a population over 29 million. Its 2020-21 population increase was 382,000, accounting for 86% of the national increase.
The 25 states that voted for former President Donald Trump increased their populations by 1,049,000, while the 25 states plus D.C. that voted for President Joe Biden saw their populations fall by 607,000. If you set aside the eight marginal states, which no candidate carried by 5% or more, you find the solid Trump states gaining 694,000 people, the marginal states gaining 544,000, and the solid Biden states losing 796,000.
The nine states with no state income tax ... gained 782,000 people, while the other 41 states plus D.C. lost 340,000.
Barone paints an interesting picture, one we must for now consider a rough draft of what our future will resemble. He extracts the above data from Census Bureau estimates.
Saturday, December 25, 2021
White Christmas, Seen from Afar
Gentle Christmas Humor
Ed Driscoll posted this at Instapundit, and it reminded me of several other such occurrences.
A Hack, Shared
I have a Christmas ‘present’ for you, in the form of a hack which costs you nothing and is worth much. I learned it quite by accident, as I will explain.
Most spam calls these days utilize a mechanism which makes them appear to come from the area code where your phone number suggests you live. And of course they don’t tell you the identity of the caller.
Our cell phones have a northern CA area code, where we no longer have a winter home. Our phone directories contain the numbers of everyone in that area we would want to receive calls from. So when we get a call from the old area code with no name shown, we simply don’t answer the call.
Translation: we get call screening for free, because our phones reflect an area code where we do not live. My understanding is that your cell provider will give you any area code of your choice. Choose one where you do not live or have friends and any calls from that area will be spam and can be ignored.
Friday, December 24, 2021
Merry Christmas, One and All
COTTonLINE wishes our readers a very Merry Christmas. Be of good cheer and stay healthy as this plague year ends. Be safe on the highways and byways and, if you are flying, any landing from which you can walk away is a good one.
We ordered our Christmas cards in November, they were shipped to our town in early December, and for entirely incomprehensible reasons were sent back to the East Coast vendor with the notice that our post office had never heard of us. The vendor notified us of the cards return this morning.
This mixup occurred in spite of the fact that the Post Office was putting mail (and occasional packages) with the same address in our P.O. Box nearly every day.
If you anticipated a Christmas card from the DrsC, it will be along a few days after Christmas. I expect that is when the last minute replacements I bought this afternoon will finally be delivered.
A Pet Peeve
I am pretty darn sure I’m not the only one who is flummoxed by calling a whole day - this one and another a week from now - “eve.” Eve is short for “evening” meaning when the sun is leaving or gone from the sky.
It is now 9 a.m. in the Pacific Time Zone I call home during the winter and supposedly this is Christmas Eve. It is most certainly the morning of the day before Christmas but very clearly it is no kind of “eve,” and won’t be until late this afternoon.
Thanks for reading my ‘grammar police’ rant, I feel better for having shared it with you.
Thursday, December 23, 2021
An Interesting Rumor
Instapundit Glenn Reynolds shares an interesting rumor about Taiwan's intended riposte to a Chinese invasion of their island.
As I understand it, the Taiwanese invasion plan is to blow up the Three Gorges Dam and drown several hundred million Chinese, along with a whole lot of industry and agriculture.
If at all feasible, that sort of doomsday plan could give a Beijing decision-maker considerable pause.
A Bit of Progress
Moving into a new house - when one half of the couple is currently an invalid - isn't particularly rapid, or elegant. It is, however, what we're living through and we are making progress, albeit slowly.
Today's minor milestone was finally getting our laundry equipment installed and functional. The holdup has been our clothes dryer which had to be converted back from propane to natural gas and of course parts weren't immediately available.
That conversion happened today and, as a result, we will no longer be going to the coin laundry. I won't miss that particular chore.
Wednesday, December 22, 2021
Nailing It
Red State's Nick Arama reprints a Elon Musk quote about the evil of being "woke."
At its heart, wokeness is divisive, exclusionary, and hateful. It basically gives mean people a shield to be cruel, armored in false virtue.
The strange dude really does get it, doesn't he? And see what he said of Sen. Elizabeth "Pocahontas" Warren (D-MA), who erroneously claimed he doesn't pay federal taxes.
If you could die by irony, she would be dead.
Imagine giving an interview to the satirical Babylon Bee. Musk could have a reasonable career writing dialog for SNL.
Musk is a latter-day polymath. It appears he hopes to found a Mars colony and maybe retire there.
Two Milestones
Tuesday, December 21, 2021
By a Process of Elimination ....
How Is Your State Doing?
Not a Coincidence
Monday, December 20, 2021
Welcoming the Solstice
Roughly 24 hours from now, our planet reaches what we call the Winter Solstice in the Northern Hemisphere. It is one of the two points in its 365¼ day trip around the sun at which the axial tilt is maximized, the other occurring in June.
We in the Northern Hemisphere experience tomorrow as the shortest day and longest night of the year. Our friends in the Southern Hemisphere have the opposite experience tomorrow, the longest day and shortest night of the year.
Tomorrow winter officially begins for North America, Europe and Asia, summer begins for those in Argentina and Australia. The farther from the equator one lives, the greater the differences experienced.
For Singapore - located on the equator - the seasons are no big deal. For near-polar Fairbanks and Ushuaia the solstices are dramatic. Twenty-four hour darkness for one, twenty-four hour daylight for the other.
Decades ago in mid June the DrsC were in Fairbanks, AK, traveling in our little motor home. Just for fun I stepped outside at 1 a.m. and, with much younger eyes, could read a newspaper in the slightly gloomy twilight. The arctic mosquitoes were pretty bad, as I remember, and I didn’t linger.
Sunday, December 19, 2021
Bad News from Down South
BBC News reports leftist protest leader Gabriel Boric has won the Chilean presidential runoff election, defeating rightist José Antonio Kast. With just over half the votes counted, Boric was ahead 56% to 45% and Kast has conceded.
Economically strong Chile now begins on a path which leads to the same sort of economic meltdown formerly wealthy Venezuela has experienced under Chavez and Maduro. How far down the path they go remains to be seen.
Latin America has once again demonstrated its characteristic cultural weakness, snatching economic defeat from the jaws of victory. I hypothesize the fault arises in the shared Iberian colonial heritage.
Accurate Observation, Wrong Cause
Instapundit links to a report from The College Fix which indirectly makes fun of claims made by an ethnically Asian professor at North Carolina State University.
KangJae “Jerry” Lee, of NC State’s College of Natural Resources who has a PhD in Park and Tourism Sciences, says the dearth of black Americans in activities such as hiking, fishing and hunting can’t be explained away by cultural differences or income level. “Systemic racism” is the culprit.
Lee said “The issue becomes excruciatingly clear that historical institutional racism has banished people of color from the great outdoors.”
I think Lee is being "woke" while angling for a fat anti-discrimination research grant to "buy himself out of the classroom." He is, however, totally correct that Blacks are underrepresented in the utilization of our National Parks and Forests. However, one does see a few Blacks in these outdoor recreation spots, and nobody hassles them or makes them unwelcome.
In dismissing "cultural differences" Dr. Lee makes a major error; cultural differences totally explain Black underrepresentation in camping and RVing. Non-Blacks don't understand the extent to which Black Americans strive to avoid being accused of "acting White."
Friday, December 17, 2021
Schadenfreudelicious
The Wall Street Journal has gained access to a Comscore study funded by The Washington Post which shows most mainstream media has lost subscribers and viewers since the Trump presidency ended. The WSJ reports:
[WaPo]Executive Editor Sally Buzbee said she was struck by a presentation showing that in one stretch of 2019, nearly all of the 50 most popular articles on the Post’s home page were related to politics, whereas in the same period of 2021, just three of the top 10 were related to politics.
The site had about 66 million monthly unique visitors in October, down 28% from last year. Most major publishers have suffered audience declines from 2020, when national politics and the Covid-19 pandemic lifted readership. Several of the Post’s rivals, including the New York Times, the Journal, Vox Media and CNN, had smaller declines in that time frame, according to the document, which cited data from Comscore. Other politics-focused publications, including the Hill and Politico, had traffic declines greater than the Post’s during that period, according to the document.
When most of your readers are liberals or progressives, and the Democrat president they voted for beclowns himself on a regular basis, their avoidance of political news is most definitely to be expected. That and the fact that their readers are dying off while young people don't much read actual print media, or its online avatar. The title, incidentally, is a portmanteau of schadenfreude and delicious.
Thursday, December 16, 2021
The California Death Spiral, continued
Fox News reports new data from California looking at those moving to and from the Golden State. Much has been written about those moving away, this California Policy Lab study emphasizes the drop in those moving to CA.
The study found a 38% decrease in people moving to California at the end of September 2021 compared to the end of March 2020. The study found a 12% increase in residents moving out of state.
The biggest changes were in the San Francisco Bay Area. There was a 45% decrease in entrances from other states to the Bay Area and a 12% increase in residents leaving for other states.
Sacramento County, home to the state’s capital, saw a 33% decrease of people moving in and a 13% increase in people leaving for other states.
California’s total population fell by more than 182,000 in 2020, according to a report by the California Department of Finance released in May.
As a result, it has lost a seat in the House of Representatives, effective with the 2022 midterm election.
Bad government has demographic consequences. CA is badly governed by a Democrat near-monoculture.
Junk Science
Opportunity Window Closing
Several sources, including this one, report it is unlikely that the so-called “Build Back Better” legislation, passed by the House, will be voted on by the Senate anytime soon. The liberal source cited thinks maybe it will happen in March.
It appears increasingly likely that it will never pass the Senate at all. Famously, Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV) is balking, which isn’t too surprising as he represents a state Trump carried in 2020 by a healthy margin. There has also been talk of Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ) might join him, AZ is another state with an at-best ‘purple’ electorate.
Passing the gigantic spending bill in an election year (2022), when a third of the Senate faces reelection and voters are worried about inflation, seems unlikely to me. It seems it looks that way to many Democrats as well.
Wednesday, December 15, 2021
Weird Urological Science
Website msn.com carries a Gizmodo article reporting research concerning interspecies organ transplantation into humans.
This week, researchers at New York University announced that they transplanted a pig kidney to a human for the second time with no short-term issues, following their initial success two months earlier.
The kidney wasn’t attached to its normal position in the body, but to blood vessels in the upper leg. It was then covered with a protective shield as the researchers observed it for 54 hours. During those hours, the kidney seemed to function as normal and no signs of rejection from the person’s body were detected.
One major limitation of donated pig organs is that pigs (and many other mammals) naturally produce a sugar called alpha-gal, which humans do not. But the pigs used by the NYU team were genetically engineered by Revivicor, a subsidiary of United Therapeutics Corporation, to not produce alpha-gal—in theory making them safe for human use.
Imagine a future where transplantable organs are a byproduct of bacon production. It is a classical win-win situation (for humans). Probably not kosher or halal, however.
Tuesday, December 14, 2021
Update
We moved into our brand-new winter home about 5-6 weeks ago, good friends from UT came down to help us unpack. Two days later the other DrC was hospitalized for three days with a bleeding ulcer.
Then she came home but was far from healthy, see her description of the situation at her blog, posted yesterday. Over a month later she is much better, but still gets tired easily.
We had planned to be fully moved in and settled by now … no such luck. Her office is still full of boxes as yet unpacked, not all hers but stored there as she can’t use the room anyway.
We are gradually getting things organized. The living and dining rooms are mostly “there,” ditto the bedroom and my office. The kitchen is usable but needs more work, the garage is far from settled, ditto the pantry. And we literally have made no start whatsoever on her office.
No artwork is hung, the empty boxes continue to pile up, and much awaits the recuperation of our “chief esthetics officer,” aka “the other DrC.” We are kinda, sorta “camping out” in our nice new house.
To paraphrase her summary of our situation, we are playing the hand we were dealt, and making the best of a less-than-ideal situation. Better days lie ahead.
Monday, December 13, 2021
Poll: Biden Approval Down More
Power Line's Paul Mirengoff summarizes findings from an ABC News/Ipsos poll taking a fine-grained look at voter attitudes toward President Biden's handling of various issues. Some key findings:
Respondents disapprove of Biden’s handling of inflation by a 2-1 ratio (28-57).
On some key issues, Biden’s number aren’t creeping down, they are plummeting. Six weeks ago, he was minus 6 on the economy. Now, he’s minus 16. On crime, he was minus 14 six weeks ago. Now, he’s minus 25.
Meanwhile the White House keeps saying things are great. Talk about being out of touch.
A Wake Up Call
Trump’s support within the Republican Party is far stronger than Biden’s within the Democratic Party. Among Republicans, 60% said they wanted Trump to run again for president in 2024. In contrast, just 37% of Democrats wanted Biden to run again in three years, a devastating sign of Biden’s weakening support within his own party.
On the other hand, Trump’s support among Republicans was at around 90% before last year’s election. And a comparison of conditions under Trump vs. Biden certainly comes out in Trump’s favor. So what accounts for the drop in Trump’s popularity among Republicans?
Two things come to mind. First, of course, was not winning reelection in 2020. Any incumbent who doesn’t win reelection bears that stigma.
Second, and in my view more important, is Trump’s refusal to accept he lost the admittedly atypical-in-pandemic reelection effort. I suspect in many eyes being a bad loser is at least somewhat disqualifying.
Trump needs to force himself to shut up about the 2020 outcome. He should focus on (a) Biden’s failures, and (b) the desirability of reestablishing the good things he had going on while in office, and the completion of the border wall.
If he does those things he can win renomination and perhaps win back the presidency. Given what we know of Trump’s impulsiveness, the issue is in real doubt.
Sunday, December 12, 2021
Bye-ku for Chris Wallace
The Hill reports Chris Wallace, longtime host of Fox News Sunday, has announced he is leaving that show and the Fox News cable network.
Wallace also said he wants "to try something new, to go beyond politics to all the things I’m interested in. I’m ready for a new adventure," he added. "And I hope you’ll check it out."
Rumors have him going to CNN, where he might be a better fit in terms of his own politics. However, his “beyond politics” comment seems to suggest perhaps a morning show where they cover everything from show biz to the weather, and don’t emphasize politics.
In COTTonLINE’s “don’t let the doorknob hit you as you leave” tradition, a bye-ku or haiku of farewell for Chris Wallace.
Friday, December 10, 2021
That's Awkward
Perhaps you've seen something about presidential behavior at the Dole memorial in the Capitol rotunda. The claim: it reflects bad blood between POTUS Biden and Veep Harris.
BizPac Review has video of the actual happening so you can judge for yourselves. What is indisputable is that, as marched in by the Capitol police, Joe Biden ended up adjacent to Vice President Kamala Harris. He then whispers to wife Dr. Jill, after which they exchange places so she, not he, is adjacent to Harris. Following the Biden move, Harris whispers to her husband. As everyone is masked, no lip reading is possible.
All of the foregoing is on the video. What is alleged is that Biden wished to disassociate himself from Harris, either in person or in photos of the event, or both. And that Harris perceives this snub and isn't best pleased.
Harris' poll numbers are so low they make Biden's less low numbers look not so bad. It is easy to imagine he doesn't want to be associated in the public mind with Harris.
On the other hand, the above conspiracy theory presupposes Joe Biden is sufficiently compos mentis to formulate this concept. Many have claimed otherwise.
Thursday, December 9, 2021
Smollett Guilty
The Chicago CBS TV station reports actor Jussie Smollett has been found guilty on 5 of 6 counts in his trial for perpetrating a fake hate crime with himself as the victim. The verdict is not unexpected. While the Smollett example might discourage such wolf-crying, I fear it will not.
As several pundits have observed, the demand for hate crimes far exceeds the supply. This demand encourages fakery by attention-seeking individuals who feel aggrieved but have no actionable incident about which to complain.
Later: This column documents several examples of made-up ‘hate crimes.’
Poll: Trump Would Beat Biden, Harris, or Buttigieg
Breitbart reports the findings of a recent Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll looking forward to the next presidential matchup in 2024. Here are the key comparisons.
Trump’s largest lead over the three potential Democrat contenders is Buttigieg by 11 percentage points (48 percent to 37 percent).
In a head-to-head matchup against Harris, Trump surpassed Harris by nine points (50 percent to 41 percent).
If Biden were to decide to run for reelection, a decision many Democrats are unsure will occur, Trump holds a three point advantage (48 percent to 45 percent).
Apparently mean Tweets don't look so bad ... in the rear view mirror.
Wednesday, December 8, 2021
Cheney's Primary Challenge
The Washington Examiner reports the results of a SoCo Strategies poll trying to gauge the impact of a Trump endorsement on elections. It looked at the primary race in Wyoming between incumbent Congresswoman Liz Cheney and the Trump-endorsed primary challenger Harriet Hageman.
The new survey of Republican voters found that Hageman, a GOP activist and Cheyenne land and water rights attorney, leads Cheney, 38%-18%. State Representative Anthony Bouchard is at 12% and 26% are undecided.
If my back-of-the-envelope arithmetic is correct, today at least half of Republicans would vote for someone else. If we assume half the "undecideds" vote for Cheney, she loses.
Cheney may try to get WY Democrats to cross-register and vote for her, as a way to vote "No" on Trump. I am unsure how that would pan out, probably few would bother.
Tuesday, December 7, 2021
Weird Gerontological Science
United Press International, aka UPI, reports the findings of two separate studies both of which discover things which are associated with lower risk of Alzheimer's disease. The first finds that taking Viagra, widely prescribed for erectile dysfunction, reduces the likelihood of developing the disease. The second finds that having had cataract surgery reduces the likelihood of Alzheimer's.
Both studies are correlational and need further research substantiation to determine causation, should any exist. Nevertheless, all such findings are welcome as this disease is no joke. Old age is bad enough without the additional insult of mental deterioration. Hat tip to Instapundit for the link.
Remembering Pearl Harbor
Sunday, December 5, 2021
Robert Dole, RIP
Former Senator Bob Dole (R-KS) has died at the advanced age of 98. A wounded and partially disabled World War II veteran, Dole spent 27 years in the U.S. Senate and a prior 8 years in the House. In many ways he was his era's Mr. Republican.
On the other hand, when he ran for president in 1996 against an incumbent President Clinton, he lost big. Clinton won more votes than Dole and third party candidate Ross Perot combined.
NYT Dislikes Zemmour
It was only a matter of time until the New York Times expressed extreme dislike for French presidential candidate Eric Zemmour. It has now happened (behind paywall) and Power Line's John Hinderaker has extensive quotes from their attack and his reactions thereto.
It isn't quite true that anything the NYT favors is automatically bad and anything they hate is automatically good. Not quite, but very nearly so.
So nearly, in fact, that I experience their attack on Zemmour as an unintentional endorsement of his candidacy. Among other things, the Times writes:
Mr. Zemmour explicitly models himself on Mr. Trump. He rose to notoriety through regular TV appearances, he laces his apocalyptic message with anti-immigrant slurs, he makes the unsayable sayable, he delights in a macho contempt for women, and his slogan might as well be “Make France Great Again.”
As befits a French public figure, Zemmour says it more elegantly than simply MFGA. Nevertheless he appeals to the same widely shared feelings of "You idiots are ruining my beloved country; you need to stop it stat." And the "contempt for women" accusation is simply untrue of both Trump and Zemmour.
Bitter Humor
Liberals have invented whole college majors -- psychology, sociology and women's studies -- to prove that nothing is anybody's fault.
The best efforts of which still do not excuse the evil done, or the perps thereof, or explain why such individuals should be left free to do more bad stuff to the rest of us.
Friday, December 3, 2021
Continetti Calls a Cusp
The Washington Free Beacon's editor Matthew Continetti looks at the current situation and sees a major inflection point. Is he correct? Key points:
Whether one looks at politics, economics, or the world, one sees a realignment of forces, a shuffling of players off and on the stage, to prepare for the next act in the drama. The Trump presidency seems less like the harbinger of a new beginning than a spectacular climax to a historical epoch. If so, we are living through a sort of denouement, a working through of conflicts left unresolved.
Both the Democratic and Republican parties face the internal challenges of their respective countercultures. The woke neo-socialist left and the national populist right disrupt and polarize, complicating the chances that the electorate will arrive at a non-crazy, common-sense politics of moderate reform and civil peace.
And then, see Continetti's conclusion, which is hardly upbeat.
From the Court to Crimea, the past week offered glimpses of the different world we soon will be inhabiting. Not all the images are comforting. They remind us to temper our expectations, avoid rash judgments, and be modest in our presumptions. Above all, they remind us to think seriously about how best to preserve our traditions of freedom in these strange and darkening times.
The times are indeed fraught. Be wary, stay safe and well. Classical allusion in the title, hat tip to Dr. Seuss.