Political Analysis

If you'd like a relatively fine-grained analysis of the 2010 election, seen from the perspective of six months before the event, you can find it in this article by David Paul Kuhn, Chief Political Correspondent for RealClearPolitics. This article is for the real politics junkie.

Kuhn compares the 2010 election to those of 1994 and 1982. In 1994 the president's party was badly mauled and lost control of Congress. In 1982 the president's party lost seats but not control of the Congress. He finds arguments in support of each comparison. He concludes:

Republicans lost 54 House seats in the two previous elections. Most of those losses came in Republican leaning or swing districts. And if today's conditions persist, odds are Republicans victories will rival their recent losses.