Wednesday, November 30, 2022

"Great Sort" Progress Report

Writing at PJ Media, Mark Tapscott describes data from a survey done by Trafalgar Group asking likely voters whether they (a) had moved, or (b) had made plans to move, to a region with politics more resembling their own. For those who report having already moved, the numbers are these:

4.1 percent of Independents say they have moved in the last 3 years to a region that aligns more closely with their personal beliefs.
4.4 percent of Republicans say they have moved in the last 3 years to a region that aligns more closely with their personal beliefs.
1.1 percent of Democrats say they have moved in the last 3 years to a region that aligns more closely with their personal beliefs.

Those who had not yet moved but report planning to do so, the numbers are:

9.6 percent of Independents say they are planning on moving in the next year to a region that aligns more closely with their personal beliefs.
10.4 percent of Republicans say they are planning on moving in the next year to a region that aligns more closely with their personal beliefs.
2.1 percent of Democrats say they are planning on moving in the next year to a region that aligns more closely with their personal beliefs.

Meaning red states get redder, and blue states get bluer. Trafalgar doesn't use the term "independent" but calls these likely voters "no party/other."

If you are an Independent, do you move to a purple state? From the similarities, I'd judge self-identified Independents are "shy" Republicans, wouldn't you?

Afterthought: Not certain where the DrsC fit into this matrix. We recently moved our vacation home to “a region that aligns more closely with … personal beliefs” but our legal residence remains conservative Wyoming where it has been for nearly 20 years.