The Washington Post's Henry Olsen is known for his election predictions. While his WaPo column is behind a paywall, his basic conclusion has been reprinted at the Ethics & Public Policy Center's website and I cite it here for your information.
Inflation, crime, progressive attempts at overreach and a general sense that President Biden is not up to the job will likely deliver a surprisingly large victory to Republicans. I predict the GOP will win the national popular vote by about 5.5 points, likely gaining between 31 and 40 House seats in the process. I also expect it will retake control of the Senate, gaining two to four seats.
That outcome, if accurate, will certainly find me smiling. Olsen doesn't talk about governors, but CNN misleadingly reports a majority of Americans will have a Democratic governor. It is likely this is true since CA alone has 1/8 of the U.S. population. When the votes are counted however, expect a majority of states to have Republican governors.
Now we wait....
