Monday, March 13, 2023

Whither Trump?

The Washington Examiner's Byron York is a reliable voice in political analysis. He looks at the barely underway Republican presidential primary campaign and writes the following.

There is an unstated longing in much analysis of the race coming from Republican and conservative observers. They want the Republican Party to move on from Trump, and they are looking for signs that the party is, in fact, moving on.

But the numbers are what they are. At the moment, Trump remains the dominant force in the presidential race. That might change once the race is fully underway. But for that to happen, a lot of Republican minds will have to change.

And York concludes: 

Trump sits at the head of the group of Republican presidential contenders. Observers might wish that were not so. But it is.

It seems likely that the only thing that might change the situation is a vigorous campaign in which Trump's challengers make the case for themselves, and against him, in a way that unites a majority of the Republican Party. Trump's decline shows that he is not invincible. It can be done. But it will not be easy, nor is it inevitable.

Those who doubt DeSantis' chances ask us to remember when GOP governors Rick Perry, Jeb Bush, and Scott Walker were viewed as probable nominees. All flamed out pre-convention.