Saturday, June 15, 2024

Fathers Day

My "old man" really was an old man. He was 48 when he married for the first and only time, and 52 when I was born. He lived to be almost 84.  He was a decent, good man and devoted to my mother, who was 19 years his junior.

Before marrying he'd held a whole range of jobs, everything from railway mail clerk, to criminal investigator, tax collector, and even First Lieutenant in the U.S. Army during World War I. He sang in the church choir, did some hunting and fishing, and loved cutting, splitting, and stacking firewood which reminded him of a boyhood responsibility.

He taught me to use garden tools, to shoot a pistol, catch a trout, drive a car, build a fire, pitch a tent, and set a gopher trap. I learned from him patriotism, a love of reading, and a sense of things some folks might do but we did not because we were "better than that," I suppose you'd call those middle class values.

He never did manage to get me to be an athlete. And I never shared his love of baseball or golf. I was a bookish kid, in some ways more like his older brother, who was both a West Pointer and a PhD (I only did the latter).

My favorite anecdote about my father was the wisdom he imparted about women. They were, he said, very nice but their 'thermostats' don't work well. I find I agree with both parts of that assessment.

It's Mischief Time

In a The Hill article about Russian hybrid warfare currently directed at NATO countries, author Elizabeth Braw who has written The Defender’s Dilemma: Identifying and Deterring Gray-Zone Aggression, is quoted as follows.

These provocations are hard to detect and predict. And there are no clear guidelines for a response.  The reason there’s no punishment is because it’s not a military attack, so we don’t have a rule book for how to respond. 

There’s also a major challenge of assigning blame. It took seven years for Czech authorities to point to Russia as behind an arson attack in 2014. We can’t respond in kind, and issuing condemnations doesn’t exactly frighten the perpetrator.

Why can't we respond in kind? We can certainly turn our hackers loose on crippling their systems.  

If NATO intelligence agencies don't have operatives who can pass for Russians, who can  infiltrate and plant incendiary devices with delayed fuses, they certainly should have them. And a handful of sugar lumps in a fuel tank can disable a vehicle.

We could repurpose fentanyl and heroin captured at our border or taken from dealers and, through cut-outs, provide it to dealers in Russia. There is lots of mischief creative minds can cause in Russia and nations friendly to Russia, with deniability at least thinly preserved.

Friday, June 14, 2024

Friday Snark

Both correct.


Images courtesy of Politico's Nation's Cartoonists on the Week in Politics.

Thursday, June 13, 2024

Flag Day

June 14 is Flag Day. Since so many on the left cringe whenever they see one, let's all be sure to fly Old Glory tomorrow.

Deport the Undocumented


Hmm ... let me think ... which presidential candidate agrees with the above voter majority? You say it sounds like the intent of one Donald John Trump? You are right on the first guess. 

It is worth noting that CBS News has been anti-Trump from the get-go. Imagine the gut-ache that survey finding is causing at Black Rock. Give 'em credit for not burying the bad news. They write:

A nearly six in 10 majority of voters say they would favor, in principle, a new government program to deport all undocumented immigrants living in the U.S. illegally. (That isn't purely partisan, it includes a third of Democrats. It rises to nine in 10 Republicans.)

Not sure how 62% is "nearly" six in ten, the chart shows a bit more than 6 in 10. Hat tip to Power Line for the link. 

Wednesday, June 12, 2024

Political Action Needed

Decades ago Jesse Jackson memorably called New York City “Hymietown.” While he meant it as a slur, he wasn’t far wrong. Wikipedia says NYC has the largest Jewish population of any city in the world. 

So how come we keep seeing stories like the following two from the New York Post? In the first, masked anti-Israel protestors take over a subway car and demand any Jews disembark pronto. In the second, the homes of the Jewish board members and director of the Brooklyn museum have their homes vandalized.

Haven’t the city’s 1.6 million Jews enough political clout to get this sort of nonsense shut down? A little group solidarity would go a long way in this instance. Mayors Koch or Giuliani wouldn’t have put up with it for a minute. 

Tuesday, June 11, 2024

Tectonic Plates

Musing about the proposed new stock exchange based in Texas, Power Line's John Hinderaker makes an interesting prediction. I share it with you because it is controversial, I'm not certain whether I agree.

Our country is currently on a path to disunion. Like tectonic plates shifting, we are moving inexorably toward two nations, one red and a smaller one blue. That result is not by any means foreordained, and I hope it won’t happen. But it is the end point of the road we are now on.

I can imagine us taking a off-ramp from the current path, and rather hope we do. But at this point I see no signs of such a ramp on the horizon.

An Almost Feudal Society

Joel Kotkin continues to document the deterioration of California, here is a quote to cherish.

Far from embodying an egalitarian ethos, it is pioneering a new kind of almost feudal society. A relative handful of oligarchs and a vast bureaucratic ‘clerisy’ lord it over a massive class of what are essentially serfs.

How does Kotkin justify such a sweeping condemnation?

California is not only home to by far the highest number of billionaires in the US. But it also suffers the highest proportion of Americans living in poverty and the widest gap between middle- and upper-middle-income earners of any state. It endures among the US’ highest rates of unemployment, as well as massive net outmigration, an exodus that has increased sharply since 2019. It also has 30 per cent of the nation’s homeless population. (links in original)

Not only is the much-tarnished "golden" state in a hole, they are still digging. They haven't hit bottom yet. 

Afterthought: If you haven't been following Kotkin's writing, his use of "clerisy" may confuse. As he uses the term, it means the body of governmental and quasi-governmental workers including police, teachers, medical workers, prison guards, forest rangers, highway maintenance workers, tax collectors, and elected officials. He sees their role as resembling that of the Roman Catholic church in the feudal society of medieval Europe, it taught, tended to, and controlled the serfs.

Bad Omens for Biden

Numbers guy Nate Silver, posting to X/Twitter, about the Biden reelection effort.

Biden just hit a new all-time low in approval (37.4%) at 538 yesterday. Dropping out would be a big risk. But there's some threshold below which continuing to run is a bigger risk. Are we there yet? I don't know. But it's more than fair to ask.

Go see the video of Biden freezing at an early Juneteenth celebration, while those around him are digging the music. It looks as bad as Mitch McConnell did when he froze. 

Breaking: Hunter Biden Guilty

The news this morning is that Hunter Biden was found guilty on three felony counts dealing with purchase of a gun while an addict. He still faces trial in California on tax evasion charges. He is a sleazebag.

Also being written about, we have former Speaker Nancy Pelosi on videotape in a car admitting she was responsible, at least in part, for the Jan. 6 demonstrations getting out of control. She has apparently been trying to walk back those comments. She is a sleazebag.

And it will be up to the forthcoming Trump DOJ to investigate the Biden family selling influence to foreigners for millions; Merrick Garland won't do it. He's another sleasebag.

Monday, June 10, 2024

FAFO in MN

Because two of the five regular contributors to Power Line live in the greater "twin cities" area of Minnesota, and a third grew up there, those of us who read the blog regularly get exposed to somewhat more MN news than we might voluntarily choose. The overage isn't painful and when it's too much, we just skip to the next story.

Today they're talking about how years of Democratic-Farm-Labor domination of state government have pulled down the MN economy.

Historically, Minnesota has always had higher than average GDP per capita and, consequently, better than average incomes.

But in recent years, the conservative policies that contributed to Minnesota’s success have been reversed, with increasingly dire results.

Minnesota loses (on net) residents in every income category over $50,000, while attracting residents (on net) only in the income category 0-$25,000. This is obviously not a sustainable business strategy. Economist John Phelan refers to it as the “deskilling” of Minnesota’s work force.

After years of horrific government policy, the inevitable has happened: for the first time since statistics have been kept, Minnesota is below average in per capita GDP.

Another example, if any was needed, of FAFO.
Karma is a b*tch.

Europe Voted ... the Morning After

One of the smartest things I've seen written about the EU parliamentary elections held over the weekend is this assessment of the record high voter turnout, attributed to Bruno Waterfield, Brussels correspondent for The Times.

The EU’s governing consensus has been sustained largely by voter apathy. As turnout in European elections has increased, so has the vote share of parties that reject the EU oligarchy.

Two further thoughts by Spiked deputy editor Fraser Myers:

The EU Green Deal, which includes a vast array of costly and authoritarian measures aimed at bringing down carbon emissions, has infuriated voters across the continent. (snip) In the eyes of the European public, ‘green’ has become a byword for bureaucratic interference and deindustrialisation.

European voters have effectively been given a choice between a mainstream that despises them, a left that has abandoned them (and also despises them), and a right that is promising to give the other two a bloody nose. Are we really surprised by the option they took? 

Sunday, June 9, 2024

Europe Voted

The EU voted over the past weekend, and the right did very well at the expense of the center, the left and especially the greens. France's Macron was a big loser, so was the coalition running Germany. Expect some shake up in the bureaucratic office warrens of Brussels.

Some are writing that the Green movement is on the skids. I fear that assessment is too optimistic but it is clear the green movement took a well-deserved beating. 

Europe's farmers raised hell about high fuel costs and limitations on pesticides. And just about all non-immigrant Europeans are concerned about excessive immigration, especially by people with zero interest of becoming actual Germans, French, Danes or Swedes.

Sunday Snark


Images courtesy of Sarah Hoyt posting at Instapundit.

Biden's Job Creation Claims Hollow?

Before the Covid pandemic, employment was strong. Many businesses closed down during the pandemic and many jobs were lost. 

The pandemic "ended" or, more accurately we became accustomed to it and stopped avoiding each other. Retail and service businesses rehired and employment went back up.

President Biden tries to take credit for the boost in employment associated with the pandemic's "end." That is like taking credit for dawn, something that will happen regardless.

The editorial board at Issues & Insights asks the question, "Have 'Any' Jobs Been Created Under Biden?" It is a relevant issue. I'd like to see economic data that tries to tease out the relative impacts of recovery from pandemic and Biden administration policies and practices. 

Biden has emphasized creating jobs in the green energy field. Most Americans are very tepid about this at best, if not actively opposed. 

Most firms started to take advantage of the new government green emphasis have failed. Actually most new firms do fail, but the number of these which benefitted from government largesse and still went under is notable.

I & I concludes:

Because in the four years since the COVID lockdowns, the working-age population has grown by 8.6 million. No matter how you measure job growth, it hasn’t kept pace with population growth since February 2020.

They also note that the growth of "gig" employment means substantial numbers are holding down more than one job and are double counted in employment statistics. 

Saturday, June 8, 2024

Getting the "Wrong" Answers

Apropos of the post immediately below, let me tell you a story. A college friend who earned a psychology doctorate at UC, Berkeley told me in confidence of a study in which he participated as a grad student assistant. He is long dead as are, I'm convinced, his faculty mentors so the story can be told. 

The mentors had come up with a nonverbal step in human development which everybody passes at some point. What they'd discovered was the age at which that milestone was passed was inversely correlated with IQ. The higher the IQ, the younger the child exhibited that particular behavior.

Anxious to produce proof that there were no racial differences in intelligence, they tested preschool children categorized as white, black, Asian, and Hispanic. The hope was to show that any differences between racial/ethnic groups were insignificant and thus differences in IQ scores could be attributed to linguistic or cultural issues, not to race.

As you've probably guessed, what they found was entirely politically incorrect. The group rankings were exactly what the IQ tests showed. Asians exhibited the target behavior youngest, followed by whites, followed by Hispanics followed by blacks.

After spending probably 2-3 years on the study, and trying their best to find a way to put a positive spin on the findings, they finally gave up, and moved on to other topics. Having wasted much of his grad school time working on a study which was never published did my friend's career no good at all, and he was bitter about it.

This all happened roughly 60 years ago; taboo topics are nothing new.

Weird Social Science

RealClearScience reports the results of a study of what are the taboo subjects in the social sciences, with particular emphasis on psychology.  The researchers interviewed 41 scholars to build a list of topics with a substantial likelihood of getting an author deplatformed or perhaps fired. They came up with 10 hot-button issues.

1. “The tendency to engage in sexually coercive behavior likely evolved because it conferred some evolutionary advantages on men who engaged in such behavior.”
2. “Gender biases are not the most important drivers of the under-representation of women in STEM fields.”
3. “Academia discriminates against Black people (e.g., in hiring, promotion, grants, invitations to participate in colloquia/symposia).”
4. “Biological sex is binary for the vast majority of people.”
5. “The social sciences (in the United States) discriminate against conservatives (e.g., in hiring, promotion, grants, invitations to participate in colloquia/symposia).”
6. “Racial biases are not the most important drivers of higher crime rates among Black Americans relative to White Americans.”
7. “Men and women have different psychological characteristics because of evolution.”
8. “Genetic differences explain non-trivial (10% or more) variance in race differences in intelligence test scores.”
9. “Transgender identity is sometimes the product of social influence.”
10. “Demographic diversity (race, gender) in the workplace often leads to worse performance.”

The researchers then sent these 10 issues to some 4600 psychology faculty who were asked to anonymously rate the truth or falsity of each. Roughly 10% responded. Anonymity of response means there was no way to determine the extent to which the respondents were representative of the whole.

Just over half said scholars should be free to examine questions like these, and 1.6% said the topics should be taboo. Some 46% said "it's complicated" which I presume means some topics "yes" and some "no." Or it may have meant one can't look at scary topics unless tenured.

Saturday Snark

Or This

Images courtesy of Power Line's The Week in Pictures
and its Comments section.

Friday, June 7, 2024

Friday Snark



Images courtesy of Politico's Nation's Cartoonists on the Week in Politics.

Thursday, June 6, 2024

Thursday Snark

Sending a mixed message.
Image courtesy of today's Politico.